Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 7 -- The flood of news
stories from a country as large, diverse and strange as the Russian Federation
often appears to be is far too large for anyone to keep up with. But there
needs to be a way to mark those which can’t be discussed in detail but which are
too indicative of broader developments to ignore.
Consequently, Windows on Eurasia each week
presents a selection of these other and typically neglected stories at the end
of each week. This is the 90th such compilation, and it is again a
double issue with 26 from Russia and 13 from Russia’s neighbors. Even then, it
is far from complete, but perhaps one or more of these stories will prove of
broader interest.
1.
Putin’s Spiritual
Advisor Comes Out Against Restoring the Monarchy. In the clearest
indication yet that Vladimir Putin has no plans to become tsar, despite the
promotion of that idea by some Orthodox and Russian nationalist leaders, the
Kremlin head’s spiritual advisor, Bishop Tikhon says that he is against the
idea (politsovet.ru/55803-episkop-tihon-shevkunov-vystupil-protiv-diskussiy-o-vozrozhdenii-monarhii.html). Other neglected
Putin stories this week included: Putin has allowed for the classification of
all elite property holdings including his own thus creating the basis for
criminal charges against anyone who talks about them (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=5958C3CF625DE), Russians are
evenly divided on Oliver Stone’s film about Putin with a third having seen it
and a third not having heard of it at all (regions.ru/news/2606873/), an art critic
says that Putin’s aesthetic like that of most dictators is fundamentally boring
(echo.msk.ru/programs/personalno/2011128-echo/), Putin himself
announced that he plans to have a new domestically produced limousine by the
end of 2018 (regnum.ru/news/economy/2297488.html and regnum.ru/news/it/2297511.html), Putin appears
to be planning to ditch his connection with United Russia at exactly the point
when that party is becoming more popular among Russians (novayagazeta.ru/news/2017/07/06/133187-levada-tsentr-rasskazal-o-roste-populyarnosti-edinoy-rossii), and a Moscow
commentator suggests that Putin’s “negative consolidation” of Russian society
reflects an “old-fashioned sexuality” of teenage thugs from the 1950s (vedomosti.ru/opinion/columns/2017/07/05/709439-staromodnaya-politicheskaya-seksualnost).
2.
Two Billboards
Putin and Trump Should Have Seen in Hamburg But Probably Didn’t. During the G-20
meetings in Hamburg at which the Russian and US presidents had their first
face-to-face meeting, two billboards were erected in the city by activists for
Chechnya and Ukraine respectively. The first called attention to what it
described as Putin’s “final solution” of the Chechen problem (thechechenpress.com/developments/13632-press-reliz-2.html and the second
invited passersby to look at the faces of Ukrainian soldiers who are now
“protecting the borders of civilization” (rufabula.com/photo/2017/07/06/borders-of-civilization). In another
Trump related development, the Belarusian government registered the Trump brand
trademark allowing the US president to make money in that country (myfin.by/stati/view/8775-donald-tramp-zaregistriroval-v-belarusi-svoj-tovarnyj-znak).
3.
Russians
Increasingly Paying for Counter-Sanctions Out of Their Own Pockets. Vladimir Putin’s
counter-sanctions regime is something ordinary Russians are having to pay for
out of their own pockets at a time when they are being forced to cut back on
nearly all purchases, according to Russian experts (svpressa.ru/omy/article/175943/). Among the things they are cutting back on are
entertainment (regnum.ru/news/omy/2296860.html), jewelry (newizv.ru/article/general/04-07-2017/yuvelirnyy-rynok-rossii-perezhivaet-chetvertyy-god-v-rezhime-padeniya-3b2d9e67-5287-4ebd-900f-65f84dfa6911(,
basic foodstuffs (newsland.com/community/6437/content/shok-infliatsiia-takogo-bank-rossii-ne-ozhidal/5904818), and shoes and
cosmetics (ng.ru/omics/2017-07-06/1_7023_total.html). Bankruptcies
are up by almost 100 percent from last year (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=595E310F6B132),
more millions are caught in a debt trap (svpressa.ru/society/article/175973/),
and the government has made it easier for collection agencies to harass
borrowers (versia.ru/legalizaciya-kollektorskogo-biznesa-udarila-po-dolzhnikam http://svpressa.ru/society/article/175973/). And despite
what the Kremlin says, pensioners in Russia are working only because they need
the money, not in order to find fulfilment (ng.ru/omics/2017-07-03/1_7020_pensia.html).
4.
Business Climate,
Not Geopolitics, Driving Investors Out of Russia. To hear the
Kremlin tell it, Western investors would come flooding into Russia again if
sanctions were lifted; but Moscow experts say that much of the massive and
rising disinvestment now taking place reflects problems with the domestic
business climate rather than geopolitics (kommersant.ru/doc/3342065 and echo.msk.ru/news/2011364-echo.html). Moreover, they
say, that climate and the level of poverty in Russia will be much worse in 2019
and not better as the Kremlin is suggesting (newsland.com/community/7285/content/uroven-i-kachestvo-zhizni-na-2019-god-prognoz/5899889).
5.
Boosting Pension
Age Will Give Moscow Large but Short-Lived Infusion of Funds. Experts say that
if Moscow raises the pension ages by several years as it now plans, the
government will get a large but very short term boost in revenues because it
will not have to put money in pension funds. But this boost will rapidly
disappear in the out years, they say (iz.ru/615899/inna-grigoreva/biudzhet-sekonomit-na-povyshenii-pensionnogo-vozrasta).
6.
More Social
Problems of All Kinds.
Russians are suffering from an increasing variety and intensity of social
problems. Reports this last week, for example, noted that according to the
government, 20 percent of the milk and 50 percent of the fish in Russian
markets are adulterated (newsland.com/community/4109/content/minpromtorg-20-moloka-i-50-ryby-falsifikat-poddelok-stanovitsia-vse-bolshe/5899960), more than
19,000 Russians died from impure water in the last year (newsland.com/community/6701/content/okolo-19-tysiach-grazhdan-rf-umerli-v-proshlom-godu-iz-za-griaznoi-vody/5903258), Russia’s war on
illegal drugs is failing (themoscowtimes.com/articles/high-on-moscow-hills-russias-law-enforcement-losing-the-war-on-drugs-to-the-dark-web-58290), Russian single
mothers are suffering more than almost any other group (takiedela.ru/2017/07/vorovali-chtoby-vyzhivat/), Russian
neo-pagans are taking over the country’s national parks and forest preserves (ng.ru/ng_religii/2017-07-05/12_423_yazuchnik.html), the Moscow
Times is shutting down its print edition (themoscowtimes.com/news/the-moscow-times-closes-print-edition-58296),
the Soviet nostalgia market is growing
by leaps and bounds (https://iq.hse.ru/news/207301673.html), and Russians
are stealing from restaurants when they can afford to go to them (echo.msk.ru/blog/yunis/2010378-echo/).
7.
Agriculture
Minister Views Wine in Place of Vodka as Solution to Demographic Problems. Russia’s
minister for agriculture argues that if Russians would stop drinking vodka and
drink more wine, that in itself would solve Russia’s demographic problems (svpressa.ru/economy/news/176072/). But the health
sector more generally is in trouble: in many places, there are no medicines
available even of the kind most widely prescribed (kavkazr.com/a/lekarstv-net-no-vy-derzhites/28589758.html).
Russians view medicine as the most corrupt sphere with which they have to
interact (politsovet.ru/55786-rossiyane-schitayut-medicinu-samoy-korrumpirovannoy-sferoy.html),
and parents say school medical facilities have been destroyed leading to more health
problems among young people (rosbalt.ru/moscow/2017/07/03/1627703.html).
8.
Russians and
Especially Youngest and Brightest Want to Move Abroad. Ten percent of
all Russians and two to three times that share among the young and the educated
now want to leave Russia permanently (svpressa.ru/society/news/176166/ and znak.com/2017-07-04/sociologiya_kazhdyy_desyatyy_rossiyanin_hotel_by_uehat_iz_strany_mnogie_uzhe_kopyat_dengi). Few of the best
and the brightest see much hope for careers or even employment in Russia
anytime soon (newsland.com/community/6437/content/mozhno-li-uderzhat-tekh-kto-ne-vidit-dlia-sebia-perspektiv-zhizni-v-rossii/5901998, newsland.com/community/5392/content/molodezh-pakuet-chemodany/5901732 and newsland.com/community/7149/content/rossiiane-nazvali-samye-privlekatelnye-strany-dlia-emigratsii/5901416). Moscow is hoping to counter this by offering
outstanding students draft exemptions if they agree not to leave Russia (republic.ru/posts/84584), but that
doesn’t seem to be having much success as ever more university students and
scientists continue to leave (kp.ru/daily/26699.5/3723722/ and snob.ru/selected/entry/126540).
9.
Moscow Inserting
Ethnic Russians in Posts Long Held by Non-Russians. One of the things non-Russians achieved in
the waning days of the USSR was to gain control of more positions in their
republics for members of their own nationality. Now, Moscow is reversing that,
putting ethnic Russians in posts non-Russians view as properly theirs. The
latest such move was in Karachayevo-Cherkessia this week where an ethnic
Russian was named interior minister, the first outsider in many years (kavpolit.com/articles/politsii_karachaevo_cherkesii_predstavili_varjaga-34425/). That is just one of the developments that is animating demands
for more democracy there. Other factors at work include violations of freedom
of speech and electoral law and the all too obvious burden of corrupt Russian
officialdom (caucasustimes.com/ru/opros-na-severnom-kavkaze-chashhe-narushajutsja-svoboda-slova-izbiratelnye-prava-i-pravo-na-zhizn/, kavkazr.com/a/nam-nuzhny-ne-deshevye-sochineniya-a-svobodnye-vybory/28599587.html and capost.media/news/policy/skolko-kavkazskie-chinovniki-tratyat-na-roskosh/).
Other “ethnic” developments this week include: fewer than 2000 Chechens apply
for the 2600 spaces in this year’s haj quota (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/305390/), and the head of
the Sakha Republic says he doesn’t want foreign workers to be sent into his
territory (echo.msk.ru/news/2006310-echo.html). Perhaps the
most intriguing development, however, is this: Russian officials have long
attacked the West for interest in the non-Russian nations but now they are
focusing their ire on increasing Western attention to Russian regions instead (newsland.com/community/7451/content/amerika-pytaetsia-izuchit-vliianie-sanktsii-na-rossiiskie-regiony/5904215
and iarex.ru/articles/54186.html).
10.
Moscow Insists
Fines for Public Reading of the Bible Don’t Violate the Constitution. The Russian justice ministry rejects the
conclusions of many that sentencing people for collective reading of the Bible
in cafes is a violation of Russia’s constitution (meduza.io/news/2017/07/05/minyust-shtraf-za-nesoglasovannoe-chtenie-biblii-v-kafe-eto-ne-ogranichenie-konstitutsionnyh-svobod). It is entirely appropriate, the ministry
says, for the government to require that those wishing to read divine texts
tell officials of their plans in advance (ng.ru/ng_religii/2017-07-05/14_423_hybrid.html). Meanwhile, Moscow’s war against the Jehovah’s
Witnesses is heating up with one Witness dying after being questioned by police
(graniru.org/Society//m.262204.html),
and analysts suggesting that Moscow has gone after the Witnesses mostly because
it wants to gain control of property they have owned (echo.msk.ru/blog/cur_blog/2009356-echo/). Controversy
over the percentage of Christians and Muslims in Russia continues, but with the
upshot being that ever more experts are suggesting that the number of observant
Christians is even lower than anyone had thought before (http://www.portal-credo.ru/site/?act=monitor&id=25744 and ruskline.ru/news_rl/2017/06/28/rossiya_ne_prevrawaetsya_v_pravoslavnomusulmanskuyu_stranu/).
11.
Protests Spread
and Diversify.
This week, a rock festival against torture happened in Nizhny Novgorod despite
official opposition (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=595A112F23BEC).
Coal miners in Gukovo declare a hunger strike (newsland.com/community/8137/content/gorniaki-v-gukovo-obiavili-o-nachale-golodovki/5901152).
Opponents of the demolition of apartment blocks in Moscow appealed to the Constitutional
Court (newsland.com/community/4765/content/zakon-o-snose-piatietazhek-obzhalovali-v-konstitutsionnom-sude/5900520).
Buryats demand free and direct elections (znak.com/2017-07-04/buryaty_sobirayutsya_potrebovat_svobodnyh_vyborov). The Nogay nation steps up its pressure on
Makhachkala with 2,000 Nogays confronting security forces in northern Daghestan
(kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/305624/,
kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/305655/,
kavkazr.com/a/borba-za-raionnye-vybory-v-dagestane/28599596.html
and kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/305595/).
And Human Rights Watch denounces Moscow for its arbitrary and abusive arrests
of demonstrations earlier this month (themoscowtimes.com/news/russia-day-detentions-arbitrary-and-abusive-says-human-rights-watch-58323).
12.
Repression Spreads
and Intensifies Across Russia. The coordinator
of Open Russia was forced to flee abroad because Russia is now closed to those
who support democracy (ixtc.org/2017/07/koordinator-otkrytoy-rossii-pokinul-stranu-iz-za-presledovaniy/). The
authorities stepped up their campaigns against anonymizers (meduza.io/news/2017/07/03/fns-my-blokiruem-ne-anonimayzery-a-sayty-s-anonimayzerami), reporting on torture in prison (novayagazeta.ru/articles/2017/07/03/72990-fsin-hochet-molchaniya), and Russian nationalist
sites (rufabula.com/news/2017/07/06/blocking), Navalny
campaign sites (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=595E011AE207E). The government
approved new and broader rules for forced labor in Russia (znak.com/2017-07-06/komissiya_pravitelstva_po_zakonoproektam_odobrila_rasshirenie_praktiki_prinuditelnyh_rabot). And it showed
its disregard for law in two important ways: It convicted five graduates of a
Turkish lycee for being members of an organization that doesn’t exist (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=595BA6D86674F), and it used quasi-private youth and pensioner
groups to do its dirty work attacking Navalny’s campaign (tvrain.ru/teleshow/videooftheday/otrjada_putina-438650/).
13.
Monuments War
Eases Slightly. Compared to most weeks, the last has been
almost peaceful on this front. The commemorative plaque to Admiral Kolchak was
taken down in St. Petersburg (meduza.io/news/2017/07/05/v-peterburge-demontirovali-memorialnuyu-dosku-kolchaku-etogo-dobilis-storonniki-kurginyana).
And plans went ahead for nationality-related monuments in Daghestan and
Kabardino-Balkaria (nazaccent.ru/content/24569-pamyatnik-avarskoj-poetesse-fazu-alievoj-ustanovyat.html
and magazines.russ.ru/nz/2017/2/kommemorativnye-praktiki-v-sovremennoj-kabardino-balkarii.html). The
highpoint in this sector was the announcement that city fathers will mark the
400th anniversary of Uryupinsk, the symbol of provincialism in the
eyes of most urban intellectuals in Russia (ng.ru/regions/2017-07-03/100_170703_uryupinsk.html).
14.
Russian Guard Units
Kill 125 People in Last Year. Vladimir Putin’s Russian Guard reports
that since it was created a year ago, its officers have killed 125 people and
destroyed 300 camps in the North Caucasus as well as participating in crowd
control work elsewhere (rbc.ru/society/04/07/2017/595b5aad9a7947836632eefc).
One thing the Guard has been looking for are caches of illegal arms, ever more
of which are being found (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=595E76931C369
and lenta.ru/news/2017/07/05/novosib/).
Meanwhile, officials reported that the military is having serious trouble
preparing soldiers and sailors (ok-inform.ru/szfo/murmansk/95828-kak-zapolyare-lishayut-budushchikh-moryakov-i-rybolovov.html).
Other domestic security issues reported
this week include the fact that an elite military brigade has now become
a Muslim dominated one because of changes in the draft cohort (newsland.com/community/5325/content/elitnuiu-brigadu-vv-prevratili-v-musulmanskuiu/5901985) and a new Duma push to prevent anyone who is
deferred from or avoids the draft from serving in the government for ten years,
an indication that claims to the contrary notwithstanding, draft evasion may be
growing (kommersant.ru/doc/3344082). It was also reported that Putin has
introduced territorial defense units within the Russian order of battle (politsovet.ru/55777-putin-vvel-v-rossii-territorialnuyu-oboronu.html)
and is directing the construction of new bunkers for the leadership beneath
Moscow’s streets (newsland.com/community/1003/content/kreml-stroit-pod-moskvoi-bunkery/5898717).
15.
Lavrov Confirms
Russian Forces Intervened in Ukraine. Russian
Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov clumsily but finally acknowledged that Russian
forces had “gotten into the fight” in Ukraine, thus confirming what the world
knows that Moscow is a direct participant and not the honest broker it always
insists it can be (echo.msk.ru/blog/echomsk/2010936-echo/ and newsland.com/community/4109/content/a-kak-zhe-ikhtamnet/5898163).
Meanwhile, bloggers show but the Russian government is hardly likely to confirm
that Russian soldiers in Syria have used sledgehammers to torture prisoners
there (funker530.com/prisoner-sledge-hammer/).
16.
Planned New
Russian Carrier Will Attack Only the Russian Budget, Analysts Say. The Russian
defense ministry’s plan to build a new aircraft carrier over the next decade
will be capable of attacking only one target: the Russian budget, according to
Moscow analysts (svpressa.ru/war21/article/176115/).
Indeed, ever more voices are being raised against the project as an overly
expensive ship that Russia doesn’t need and certainly can’t afford (newsland.com/community/4109/content/avianosets-shtorm-nuzhen-li-flotu-novyi-super-dorogoi-korabl/5900898).
17.
Russia’s Two
Allies Meet Its Two Problems.
Russia, it is sometimes said, has only two allies, its army and its
fleet, and only two problems, roads and fools. Those four have now come
together: Military planners want to shift from trains to trucks to move
military equipment about because there are more roads than there are train
tracks and thus it will be harder for an enemy to attack them. But such plans,
as analysts are pointing out, ignore the fact that Russian roads are in
horrific shape and that heavy military trucks will tear them up faster than the
government can fix them (regnum.ru/news/polit/2296968.html).
18.
Moscow Spending
Massively on Lobbying in Europe.
Transparency International reports that Russian companies and at least
some of them as cover for the Russian government are spending massively on
lobbying efforts in European countries (novayagazeta.ru/news/2017/07/06/133186-transparency-raskryla-traty-rossiyskih-kompaniy-na-lobbistov-v-evrope). Meanwhile, in a relative development, a
pro-Russian group of deputies is trying to become a formal group in order to
gain access to the top positions there (nr2.lt/rumors/V-PASE-sozdayut-gruppu-prorossiyskih-lobbistov-125749.html).
19.
Russian Team will
Lose in World Cup – Why Should Russians Finance the Competition? Russia’s poor showing in Federation Cup play
has led to ever more predictions that it will not do well in the 2018 World Cup
and prompted questions as to why Russians should pay for this “show off”
campaign in which the country will only be embarrassed (forum-msk.org/material/news/13404210.html
and newsland.com/community/politic/content/otkuda-est-poshli-ponty-u-rossiiskoi-elity/5901021). Despite upbeat comments from international
sports officials and Moscow, the Confederation Cup competition was marred by
numerous failures that must be corrected soon, Russians say (business-gazeta.ru/article/350545
and ura.news/articles/1036271396). There were too few hotel rooms and hotels
engaged in price gauging, something that suggests next year would be even worse
(iz.ru/614911/anna-ivushkina/rosturizm-konstatiroval-defitcit-gostinitc-k-chm-2018,
novayagazeta.ru/news/2017/07/05/133151-rosturizma-otchitalsya-o-defitsite-gostinits-k-chm-2018 and echo.msk.ru/news/2012196-echo.html). Moscow officials have promised that they will
ensure that ticket prices next year will be accessible for ordinary Russian
fans (versia.ru/vitalij-mutko-zayavil-chto-ceny-na-chm-2018-budut-dostupnymi-dlya-rossijskix-bolelshhikov).
But cases of waste and corruption were widespread and those will be hard to
root our (politsovet.ru/55824-k-chm-2018-v-ekaterinburge-snimut-film-kotoryy-mozhet-nikto-ne-uvidet.html). Meanwhile, the IAAF issued tighter rules
governing Russian competitors who may have to take part in international meets
under neutral flags (newsland.com/community/7285/content/slovo-rossiia-prishlos-sodrat-dazhe-s-chemodana/5896390).
20.
Russian Male Life
Expectancy Slips Further Behind Female Rating.
Russian men now live 11.5 years fewer than Russian women, six months
fewer than a year ago and an indication that any efforts the Russian government
have made to reduce mortality rates among working-age males have failed (polit.ru/article/2017/07/05/demography/). In other demographic news, experts say that
Rosstat data on life expectancies in the North Caucasus are the product of
statistical sleight of hand (kavkazr.com/a/dolgoletie-na-bumage/28595211.html).
21. Pushkin, if Published by Soros, Taken Out of
Arkhangelsk Oblast Libraries. In what rights activists are calling “a
chronicle of idiocy,” officials in Arkhangelsk have ordered books published by
the Soros organization to be taken out of libraries there, even if the works
involved are republications of Pushkin, Dostoyevsky and other unimpeachably
Russian classics (newizv.ru/news/incident/06-07-2017/hroniki-idiotizma-v-arhangelskoy-oblasti-iz-bibliotek-izymayut-klassiku-675624dd-8a97-4033-8887-3a04fea23125
and takiedela.ru/news/2017/07/07/knigi-soros/).
22.
Could
a Single Film Destroy Russia? Russian Churchman Thinks So. Archpriest Vsevolod Chaplin says that if the
movie “Mathilda” about the love life of the last tsar is ever shown to the
wider public, the Russian Federation “will be condemned” to collapse (znak.com/2017-07-03/protoierey_vsevolod_chaplin_schitaet_chto_esli_matilda_vyydet_na_ekrany_to_rf_obrechena).
23.
Many Soviet
Citizens Executed After Stalin’s Death were Innocent but Killed to Meet the
Plan. According to a new study, many of the 21,000
Soviet citizens executed by the authorities between 1962 and 1990 were innocent
and in many cases even known to be, but they were killed in order to meet plan
targets handed out by the center (russian7.ru/post/spravedlivyy-sud-kogo-v-sssr-rasstr/?utm_source=infox.sg).
24.
Falsification of
Archive Holdings Continued Under Gorbachev and Yeltsin. The falsification of archival materials under
Stalin has been well-documented, but many are unaware that this process
continued almost unabated under Gorbachev and Yeltsin, making the writing of
the history of their period far more difficult (newsland.com/community/129/content/pri-gorbacheve-i-eltsine-prokhodila-falsifikatsiia-istoricheskikh-arkhivov/5902019).
25.
Russian Young
People Far Less Altruistic and Concerned about Justice than Many Think. A review of some
122 sociological studies of the attitudes of post-Soviet Russian youth finds
that this cohort is far less altruistic and concerned about justice and far
more pragmatic and selfish than many are now inclined to think (ttolk.ru/2017/07/04/молодёжь-россии-за-комфорт-и-бизнес-п/молодежь-2-3/).
26.
Portable Toilets
Attack Crowds in Moscow. Vladimir Putin’s famous remark about drowning people
in the outhouse has taken on a whole new meaning now that a set of portable
toilets set up in Moscow on Russia’s national day got loose and began sliding
down into a crowd, causing chaos and leading Russians to flee for their lives (dailymail.co.uk/travel/travel_news/article-4654996/Chaos-Moscow-people-flee-portable-toilets.html).
And 13 more from
countries in Russia’s neighborhood:
1.
Six of Top Eight
Countries Russians Identify as Enemies are Their Neighbors. In the yearly
enemies list, six of the top ten countries Russians name as enemies are
neighbors of their country. In descending order, these are Ukraine, Latvia,
Lithuania, Poland, Estonia and Georgia. The only two others to make the list
are the US, which leads, and Germany (estonianworld.com/security/estonia-seventh-yearly-russias-enemies-list/).
2.
Ukraine Creates
Territorial Defense Units to Respond to Zapad 2017. Threat. Kyiv has
ordered the creation of special territorial units of defense in response to the
joint Russian-Belarusian military exercises (Zapad 2012) planned for this fall
(belaruspartisan.org/politic/386516/).
3.
Kyiv Billboards
Say Using Russian ‘Harms Central Nervous System.’ Billboards have
appeared in the Ukrainian capital telling residents that speaking Russian will
harm their central nervous systems (echo.msk.ru/blog/echomsk/2011428-echo/).
4.
Russians Fear
Belarus Following Ukraine’s Language Policy.
Minsk is following in the footsteps of Ukraine’s anti-Russian language
policy and what Ukraine is doing now, Belarus almost certainly will do soon if
Moscow doesn’t do anything to stop it, according to Russian analysts (lenta.ru/articles/2017/07/01/mova/).
5.
Putin Can Never
Leave Donbass – There are Too Many Witnesses for a Hague Trial. According to one Ukrainian commentator, there
is yet another reason to think that whatever he says, Vladimir Putin will never
return control of the Donbass to Ukraine: There are simply too many witnesses
to Russian war crimes and crimes against humanity who could testify in the
Hague (khpg.org/en/index.php?id=1499268442).
6.
Discipline among
Pro-Moscow Fighters in Donbass Said Collapsing. Ukrainian
officials say there is growing evidence that discipline among the paramilitary
units supporting Moscow’s invasion of the Donbass is deteriorating rapidly (gordonua.com/news/war/v-chastyah-rossiyskih-okkupacionnyh-voysk-prohodyat-proverki-v-svyazi-s-sostoyaniem-discipliny-razvedka-195653.html).
7.
Russia Moves
Border Further into Georgia. The Russian client statelet, South Osetia, has moved
its border posts further into Georgia, extending its occupation by another 10
hectares. Moscow has denied that this has
happened (agenda.ge/news/82746/eng
and kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/305555/).
8.
Belarus to Use
Chinese Yuan not Russian Ruble as Main Reserve Currency. The Belarusian
government has announced that it will now use the Chinese currency rather than
the Russian one for its national reserves, another blow to the union state (newsland.com/community/4109/content/belarus-budet-uchityvat-iuan-a-ne-rubl-formiruia-natsrezervy/5900057).
9.
Moscow Sharply
Criticizes Baku for Failing to Protect Russian Citizens. The Russian
foreign ministry has criticized Azerbaijan for failing to protect the rights of
Russian citizens on its territory, a criticism that has raised questions about
the possibility of a new Moscow tilt against Baku and for Yerevan (regnum.ru/news/polit/2297472.html).
10.
Tajikistan Tilts
Away from Iran and toward Saudi Arabia.
Tajikistan, whose titular nationality speaks a language very close to
Persian but follows Sunni rather than Shiia Islam, is moving quickly to reduce
its various informal links with Tehran and to increase them with Saudi Arabia (islamio.ru/news/policy/tot_devushku_i_tantsuet_saudity_otbivayut_tadzhikistan_u_irana/).
11.
Masonic Lodge in
Belarus Raises Its Profile. The Masonic
lodge in Minsk has gone public for the first time in a long time (belaruspartisan.org/life/385946/), as Russia’s
Masons also very publicly mark their 300th anniversary in that
country with a meeting in Perm (ura.news/articles/1036271434).
12.
Only
a Third of Azerbaijan’s 2200 Mosques are Registered with the State. More than 1400 mosques in Azerbaijan remain
unregistered and thus potentially a source of radicalism in Azerbaijan (islamsng.com/aze/news/12825).
13.
EU May Sanction Lithuania
for Having Too Many Outhouses. The European Union is threatening to
impose sanctions on Lithuania because of the large percentage of housing in
rural areas that does not have indoor plumbing (newsland.com/community/politic/content/litva-mozhet-popast-pod-sanktsii-iz-za-sortirov/5898866).
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