Paul
Goble
Staunton, December 27 – Many now
talk about “black swan” events, occurrences that are of low probability but
that could happen and radically change the situation. Now, a group of Russian
analysts has come up with 12 such events for the coming year, a list worthy of
attention less because these things will happen than because some in Moscow
consider them possibilities.
They appear in the
latest issue of Profile (storage5.static.itmages.ru/i/17/1227/h_1514367367_4768426_660dc5d31c.jpg)
and include:
1.the
adoption of a new rf constitution giving the leader lifetime incumbency and
absolute power
2.the
resignation of Donald Trump under threat of impeachment
3.a
worldwide financial crisis because of insufficient liquidity given the tight
money policies of most central banks
4.the
implementation of harsh new US sanctions on Russia leading to a collapse of the
ruble, massive capital flight, and economic collapse
5.the
imposition of draconian social policies after the presidential election,
including raising the retirement age and cutting other social benefits
6.the
outbreak of a war between the US and North Korea
7.the
failure of Russian athletes to be among the top ten teams at the South Korean
Olympiad
8.a
move by FIFA to pull the World Cup out of Russia and transfer it to England
9.a
decision by Moscow to launch another small victorious war against another
neighbor
10.the
overthrow of the Maduro regime in Venezuela with Russia thus losing its
investment there
11.the
continued rapid absorption of private companies and banks by state corporations
12.the
rise in the value of the bitcoin to 200,000 US dollars
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