Paul Goble
Staunton,
August 27 – It has long been an axiom of Western analysis that Russians
overwhelmingly support Vladimir Putin’s actions abroad and that actions abroad are
thus for him a resource he can always make use of and that any slippage in his
standing among his population is a result of unhappiness about domestic
affairs.
But
a new poll by the Public Opinion Foundation casts doubt on such assumptions. It
finds, in the words of Politsovet, that “the number of people who consider the
foreign policy of the leadership of the country successful has fallen sharply”
and that “ever more Russians consider too much attention is being devoted to
foreign policy” (fom.ru/Politika/14089 and politsovet.ru/60046-rossiyane-razocharovyvayutsya-vo-vneshney-politike-strany.html).
That does not mean that Putin might
not conclude that he could use a foreign policy move to boost his ratings or
step their fall given Russian euphoria after the Crimean Anschluss. But what it
does suggest is that he can be less confident of a similar boost with some
similar action in the future.
In this poll, respondents were asked
“In your opinion, have there been more successes or failures in the foreign
policy of Russia recently?” Just over half – 52 percent – said there were more
successes than failures, a figure down from 64 percent at the start of
2017. Almost a quarter – 23 percent –
give the opposite answer, up from 15 percent 20 months ago.
The pollsters also asked Russians
whether they thought that the authorities were devoting too much or too little
attention to foreign policy. A third –
34 percent – said that the powers that be were devoting too much attention, up
from 28 percent in early 2017. The share of those with the contrary view now stands
at 39 percent, down from 48 percent in the earlier poll.
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