Paul Goble
Staunton, November 17 – Today a
large group of heavily armed Ingush siloviki arrested a small number of Ingush
protesters and blocked others who hoped to stage a subbotnik on land slated to
be transferred to Chechnya under the terms of the September 26 border accord
between Yunus-Bek Yevkurov and Chechnya’s Ramzan Kadyrov (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/328040/ and kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/328042/).
The actual number detained is
unknown – sources vary and the republic MVD has not reported anything about the
case – and the fate of those who were remains unclear although legal
specialists in Ingushetia say that the action appears to be a political meeting
convened without permission and so those arrested may be charged with that (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/328026/).
Meanwhile, the Russian
Constitutional Accord agreed to allow the World Congress of the Ingush People
access to Yevkurov’s appeal. It had been kept confidential, but now the Ingush
opponents of the border accord will be able to see it before the November 27
hearing. They have also been invited to attend the court session (graniru.org/Society/Law/m.273844.html).
But perhaps the most important development
of the last 24 hours was a story by Rosbalt’s Ivan Preobrazhensky who says that
a government source has told him that the central government is counting on the
November 27 court session to resolve the problem given that all the major
participants in the dispute will be present (rosbalt.ru/russia/2018/11/16/1747016.html).
According to this source, “the
resolution of this issue has already been prepared in Moscow … and will have to
be a compromise” among all parties. It must satisfy both Kadyrov and the Ingush
opposition, the source said. Yevkurov, he continues, has been sidelined and
almost certainly is on his way out as head of Ingushetia.
What that could possibly look like
is unclear: Kadyrov isn’t going to want to back down; and neither is the Ingush
opposition, although the latter will certainly be pleased if Yevkurov is out.
Perhaps the September 26 accord will be scrapped, and a new one, prepared in
Moscow, that gives Kadyrov a smaller amount of land from Ingushetia will be put
in its place.
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