Paul Goble
Staunton, November 20 – The telegram channel SerpomPo
says that people in Russia’s regions are becoming ever angrier at the center as
their lives become worse and increasingly adopting the slogan “Stop Feeing
Moscow.” But in response, Vladimir Putin is doing exactly the reverse of what
Boris Yeltsin did to combat such incipient separatism.
“In the 1990s, when Russia was on the brink of
disintegration, Yeltsin’s ‘take as much sovereignty as you want,’ whether anyone
likes this or not, saved” the situation and the country. Now, in contrast,
SerpomPo says, Putin has adopted the opposite tact: “We will leave you as much
sovereignty as we want” (reposted at charter97.org/ru/news/2018/11/20/313473/).
“In the
fat first years of the 21st century, this worked,” the channel
continues. “but judging from the obtuseness with which the Kremlin is dealing
with the regions, no one [at the center] intends to change course,” even though
the reverse worked before and the current course seems designed only to make
the situation worse.
Such
conclusions are not unique to this telegram channel. Valery Solovey, the MGIMO
political analyst and commentator, draws much the same conclusion on the basis
of letters and other communications he is receiving from friends beyond the
ring road of Moscow (dialog.ua/russia/165135_1542653185).
Repression
typically works if there is enough of it, but if Moscow assumes it can take and
take without increasing how much repression it is prepared or even able to
apply, then it may discover as does anyone who throws water on a grease fire
that such actions are more likely to spread the conflagration than to put it
out.
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