Paul
Goble
Staunton, November 25 – Commentators
in Moscow, Kyiv and the West have misunderstood what Moscow and its agents in
Ukraine are about as far as reaching a settlement in Ukraine is concerned,
Vladimir Piontkovsky says. Moscow and its agents want Ukraine to reunite with
the ORDLO rather than having the ORDLO reunite with Ukraine.
That is not peace as some imagine but
another step toward Russian dominance of Ukraine because the ORDLO (the Russian
acronym for “certain regions of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts”) that Moscow now controls
won’t pass to Kyiv as force Kyiv to become part
of the ORDLO, the commentator
says (echo.f08b.comcb.info/material.php?id=5DDC2B851A047).
It is bad enough that this is what
Moscow wants, Piontkovsky argues. It is worse that Moscow’s agents in Kyiv,
including members of Vladimir Zelensky’s staff like Andrey Yermak want it. But
it is unforgiveable that the international community refuses to see what is
going on and instead has fallen into a swoon as a result of Moscow’s supposed “peace”
offensive.
To achieve their ends, Moscow and
its agents in Kyiv are doing what they can to discredit Ukraine in the eyes of
the West so as to make this Russian victory over Ukraine less odious, the latest
example of “the salami tactics” the Russian side has been using since 2014, the
Russian analyst warns.
The key features of this Russian
campaign are two: the insistence that there be elections in the Donbass before the
restoration of Kyiv’s control and the even greater insistence that the Normandy
Four agree to all this in advance and in secret so that Kyiv won’t be able to
maneuver or back out at the last minute.
Such arrangements are designed to
conceal the fundamental fact: “the reunification [of Ukraine] with the ORDLO is
not peace. It is the spready of Russian occupation to all of Ukraine. It is war,”
Piontkovsky says.
“A just peace would require the
return to Ukraine of all occupied territories and a trial of Russian military criminals
and their Ukrainian assistants. Today, this is impossible. Today, only an
armistice is possible – a real ceasefire … and the return to Ukraine of
hundreds of its citizens seized on the occupied territories as hostages.”
This is “a frozen conflict, a new
Transdniestria, South Ossetia, Kashmir and divided Korea,” Piontkovsky
continues. “This is a bad option” but it is the best available one especially
considering that agreeing to Moscow’s program will result in something much
worse, the legitimation of Russian control and the extension of Russian power
throughout Ukraine.
To understand just how wrong what
Moscow, its Ukrainian agents, and its friends in the West want, “imagine if
South Korea were offered today reunification with North Korea but with Kim Jong-un,
his army and nuclear arsenal maintained and the liquidation of the
demilitarized zone at the 38th parallel.” No South Korean or South
Korean supporter would accept that.
But given the actions of its agents
in Kyiv and its success in turning the heads of many Western leaders, even
those in Moscow who had thought that such a move might backfire by producing a
new Maidan have concluded that as long as “Trump is ours, Macron is ours, and [Andrey]
Yermak is ours, we must use this window of unlimited geopolitical
possibilities.”
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