Staunton, May 7 – Russian officials announced that 10,699 more people in the Russian Federation had tested positive for the coronavirus, the fifth day in a row that more than 10,000 new cases have been reported, bringing the cumulative total in that country to 187,859 (severreal.org/a/30600705.html).
But sociologists, demographers and other experts say that they doubt these figures are complete, adding that much of the data they and officials would need to design sensible policies is either not being collected at all or not made available to the expert community (severreal.org/a/30597852.html).
Vladimir Putin has promised the quarantine regime will be gradually relaxed; but in fact, in many places, it is simply collapsing as people ignore the rules or challenge them in court. Only in Moscow, where the self-isolation program has been extended to May 31, are restrictions working largely as intended (region.expert/no_regime, severreal.org/a/30595907.htmlasiarussia.ru/news/24166/).
But scholars say that with each additional day of quarantine, the possibility that the Russian economy will recover anytime soon recedes and a Great Depression-like period looms ahead (ura.news/articles/1036280180). More than 40 percent of individual enterprises have closed or plan to in the near future (ng.ru/economics/2020-05-07/100_econ07052020.html).
After the quarantine ends, “about half” of all clothes, shoes and accessory stores are already projected not toreopen (thinktanks.by/publication/2020/05/07/v-moskve-mogut-zakrytsya-do-50-magazinov-odezhdy-obuvi-i-axessuarov.html). And while some crimes are down, others including family violence are way up. As a result, the overall crime rate has risen four percent compared to a year ago (profile.ru/society/chto-proisxodit-s-prestupnostyu-vo-vremya-karantina-303004/).