Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 23 – In 1991, Moscow
allowed the departure of an ethnically different periphery but not an
ethnically similar one, and thus faces exactly the opposite course or
historical development as did European powers who lost the ethnically similar
colonies first and held on to the ethnically dissimilar ones by force for far
longer, Vladislav Inozemtsev says.
What the economist calls Russia’s “imperial
trap” reflects this as can be seen if one compares Moscow’s in recent decades
with that of London further in the past. The British, for example, ceded
independence to ethnically similar North America, Australia and New Zealand
long before they gave up ethnically different India and African colonies.
Thirty years ago, Russia was forced
to give up much of its ethnically different periphery, although it was far from
ready to do so; and now it is being confronted by demands from an ethnically
similar periphery, that is if anything even less willing to accept (spektr.press/vremya-sosredotochitsya-vladislav-inozemcev-ob-istoricheskih-kornyah-protestov-v-habarovske-i-o-tom-kak-rossii-vybratsya-iz-imperskoj-lovushki/).
That too, Inozemtsev argues, has its
roots in the specific history of the Russian Empire. In contrast to European empires, Russia’s “was
formed not so much as a unity of the metropolitan center and lands colonized by
it as the expansion of a single state,” something that concealed but did not
alter the underlying reality.
Beginning in the 16th
century, “Moscow ruled de facto a colonial empire” but it viewed its
empire as “one large metropolitan area.” In large measure, the center ruled
ethnically similar regions east of the Urals in the same way it ran ethnically
different ones in Central Asia, the Caucasus and the West.
That might not have been a problem except
for one thing, the economist says. Th center exploited the periphery, Russian
and non-Russian alike, but insisted that the periphery and especially the
Russian portion was part of the whole country but not deserving of equal
treatment.
“Moscow today rules territories
where the very same Russians live as those at the center of the country but who
do not receive the same benefits or have the same standard of living which the
population of the capital does.” And because that is the case, Inozemtsev says,
“protest has arisen not in the ‘national’ republics but in oblasts where
Russians, Ukrainians and Belarusians form 94.3 percent of the total.”
Ethnic similarity alone will not
hold things together if the relations between the center and the periphery are
so unequal. That is something that British learned at the end of the 18th
century with the independence of the United States and in the 19th with
the exit of Canada, Australia and New Zealand from London’s control.
It is not something that Moscow is
yet prepared to accept. But “the century
in which we live is not a century of empires.” All of them are gone except for
Russia, and now its ethnically similar periphery is rising against the imperial
center just as the ethnically different one did in 1917 and 1991.
“Today,” the analyst continues, “Russia
is in a situation extremely similar to that in which the Soviet Union was at
the start of the administration of Mikhail Gorbachev. The first expressions of
dissatisfaction in 1986 also occurred on the periphery, and then too many
thought that it would be enough to appoint some local to run Alma Ata to settle
things.”
“How this ended, we all know;” and
today Russians wherever they live in the country must recognize that “Russian
will not be able to maintain its unity if it does not convert itself into a
genuine federation.” Its previous efforts to do so failed, and doing this now
will be extremely difficult. But if it doesn’t happen, then disintegration is
inevitable.
“Only flexible relations among the subjects
of the federation, significant autonomy in tax policy and the use of natural
resources, a consistent defense of the rights of indigenous peoples, and strong
local self-administration can help Russia break out of its imperial trap and build
a country which it never was before.”
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