Paul Goble
Staunton,
January 13 – For most of the last month, the conflict that riled Ingushetia
during the fall over the border agreement Yunus-Bek Yevkurov concluded with
Chechnya’s Ramzan Kadyrov had been relatively calm, at least in part because of
the long Russian winter holiday.
But
in the last 48 hours, it has resumed in violence and with a series of moves by
the Ingush authorities, the Ingush opposition, the Ingush mufti, and both the
Chechen government and the Chechen people that suggests that there are likely
to be more protests of various kinds about this accord in the coming months.
The
violence involved an attack on a police car in the disputed Sunzhen region. Three
of the four occupants were seriously injured, and two attackers were killed in
response. Officials described the attackers as “bandits” but it is not clear
who they were. That this attack occurred in Sunzhen makes it suspicious (polit.ru/article/2019/01/13/fire_ingush/).
This was the 11th such
attack on officials in that district since the start of 2018, an indication of
the spread of violence into Ingushetia. It may very well have occurred because anti-Russian
militants assume that they won’t be handed over as readily to Moscow forces
given the border dispute.
A second development in the region
this weekend involves the failure of Kadyrov to get many Chechens to sign up to
move to one of the areas he acquired from Ingushetia by means of the Septembeer
26 accord. The area had been part of Chechnya before the 1944 deportations but
was under Ingush control.
Kadyrov promised to develop the
region but Chechens have expressed skepticism that there is any good reason to
move into that district until they see evidence that real progress has been
made on infrastructure and jobs rather than simply the kind of empty promises they
have been given in the past (kavkazr.com/a/29703059.html).
A third development this weekend likely
to exacerbate conditions in Ingushetia in the future was a decision by the
Coordinating Center of Muslims of the North Caucasus to suspend Ingushetia
Mufti Isa Khamkoyev from participation
in its activities until he stops interfering in the activities of government
organs (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/330244/).
Khamkhoyev has supported the Ingush
who oppose the border accord and called for the convention of a shariat court
to rule on it. The coordination center’s
action is likely to backfire: it will highlight how much support the Ingushetia
mufti has at home and further weaken that coordinating body (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/330170/).
And yet a fourth event is also going
to play a role in the coming weeks and months.
The Mashr human rights group in Ingushetia gave out twelve diplomas,
including one posthumously, to other activists who have opposed the oppressive
regime of Yevkurov (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/330234/ and fortanga.org/2019/01/v-ingushetii-nagradili-geroev-grazhdanskogo-obshhestva/).
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