Paul
Goble
Staunton, May 21 – The Kremlin’s plans
to amalgamate Arkhangelsk Oblast and the Nenets Autonomous District into a
single federal subject have already sparked opposition in both places (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/05/nenets-residents-start-organizing.html,
severreal.org/a/30624537.html and arctic-consult.com/archives/17701).
But
Moscow’s general failure to pay attention to the population and its proclivity
for grandiosity are leading to a push for an even larger amalgamation, one that
would include these two as well as the Komi Republic, whose leaders have also
come out against the idea (komi.kp.ru/daily/27131/4220127/,
idelreal.org/a/30622360.html and kasparov.ru/material.php?id=5EC578C66086B§ion_id=4354A73076FEC).
If
this proposal is realized, that would create an enormous region, as large as
Scandinavia, but with only two million people in cities connected only by air (thebarentsobserver.com/ru/obshchestvennost/2020/05/novyy-severnyy-rossiyskiy-region-mozhet-sravnitsya-po-ploshchadi-so).
Putin would no doubt welcome this as
a major step forward in the development of the Russian North and as a restart
of his on-again, off-again regional amalgamation project. But this effort will
infuriate non-Russians because as some in the two non-Russian regions say, what
is being proposed is “not the unification of regions but the annexation” of
non-Russian republics.
And they will fight this project in the
coming days and weeks. As one Komi activist told Ramazan Alpaut of the IdelReal
portal, “the Komi are an extremely numerous people and an evolved political
nation.” They don’t want to be submerged in some larger entity whose capital
and concerns will be far from them (idelreal.org/a/30622360.html).
But
even more important than this opposition in the three federal subjects will be
opposition both in the larger non-Russian republics who will view this move as
directed against them and in Moscow among opposition groups who may this time
around recognize that the attack on the non-Russian republics is ultimately an
attack on Russian democracy as such.
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