Paul
Goble
Staunton, May 21 – Before our eyes
and in a remarkably short time, Aleksandr Tsipko says, the coronavirus pandemic
has destroyed the hitherto widely held belief among Russians that the fate of
their country and the fate of Vladimir Putin were ineluctably intertwined and
even one and the same thing.
The senior Moscow commentator says
that this should not really come as a surprise because it reflects the fact
that the impact of a faceless enemy is always very different than that of one
with a human visage. The latter typically unites people with their leader, but
the former highlights their differences (ng.ru/ideas/2020-05-20/7_7865_sacralization.html).
Russians now look at Putin with different eyes
given that they face the possibility of death from a faceless enemy he can’t
stop. And as a result, Tsipko argues,
“the future of Russia will depend in large measure on how the zeroing out of
the former sacred relationship to Putin generated by the pandemic will
end.”
Further, he says, it is now clear
that “the possibility of dismantling Putinist authoritarianism, about which the
liberal opposition speaks now entirely depends on the dismantling of the
traditional Russian sacralization of power.” That didn’t happen in 1991 and so
1993 occurred. But it has happened since March 10 when Putin’s lifetime in
power was backed.
“In order to understand the fate of
the sacred relationship of ‘the deep Russian people’ to Putin” despite their
fatigue with him, “one must take into consideration the specific nature of the
delight [the deep Russian people] had in the power of Putin.” They were delighted by his coldness and
discipline and also by his plans to achieve what for others seemed impossible.
“The sacred character of Putin did
not have anything in common with the sacredness of the tsars as God’s
representative on earth,” Tsipko says. Putin in fact “has put himself above
God” by declaring that he will decide who goes to heaven and who to hell in the
event of a nuclear apocalypse.
According to Tsipko, “it is possible
that there was no strategy behind all this but simply the instinct of the
self-preservation of supreme power.”
Despite all the harm he inflicted on Russia with his Crimean adventure,
Putin retained or even gained the support of the population because of the
faith Russians had that he was special and alone had the ability to do such
things.
That of course, “led to the
de-intellectualization of Russia today and a lowering of the quality of thought
not only among government propagandists on television but in society as a
whole.” Russians seemed to have become even more lacking in thought than was
the case in Soviet times.
Further, “the more mysticism and
messianism in the current government treatment of Soviet history, the more was
wiped out of consciousness realism, the intrinsic value of human life, and the
consciousness of the real causes of our Russian catastrophes,” the Moscow
scholar and commentator says.
“As a result, the sacralization of
even the undoubted achievements of Soviet history has led to the dehumanization
of the consciousness of the population, to the loss of the initial Christian
foundations of Russian thought, to a loss of good sense of the ability to
objectively assess the situation in one’s own country and its real prospects.”
That blocked any serious analysis of
the mistakes of the current leadership and further primitivized the thinking of
“’the deep Russian people.’” But it also
had the same impact on the thinking of the powers as well. They too couldn’t
assess reality but were driven by passions alone.
Had they not been, they would have
seen that Russia was far better off before the Crimean Anschluss than it was
after that date, even if Russians celebrated Putin for achieving what almost
everyone thought impossible. And more mistakes have followed, including most
disastrously the failure to agree with OPEC on oil prices.
“Our tragedy,” Tsipko says, “is that
the rebirth of Russian autocracy in the 21st century has led to the
rebirth of the traditional spatial-power thinking of the long passed 19th
century” and to the outcome Ivan Illin warned against: a national pride resting
on a mania for greatness alone.
“The present pandemic, with its
threat to undermine the foundations of contemporary civilization, kills everything
on which the sacred nature of the power of Putin rests. Under current
conditions, when the entire country to an equal degree is suffering from the
pandemic, all our propaganda pushing hatred of the contemporary West becomes
anti-natural and anti-human.”
According to Tsipko, “the sacred
standing of Putin was close to that of the leaders of Bolshevism, Lenin and
Stalin, at the basis of which stood the enthusiasm of ‘the deep Russian people’
before leaders of a state which were trying to do the unthinkable and stand
above everyone.”
Putin is trying to do something
similar and until the pandemic it had similar effects: it too was based on
messianism and the notion of the special Russian civilization the Kremlin
leader now talks about. “The Bolsheviks justified their total power by communism
messianism; Putin justifies his by Russian messianism and the ideals of ‘the Russian
world.’”
But that effort has now come
crashing down because the pandemic and the horrors and fears it has given rise
to have been “useful” in that they have revived “the instinct of self-preservation
and forced individuals to look at the real threats of life” rather than the
imaginary ones Putin has postulated.
As soon as that sense of self-preservation
returns, Tsipko says, “the psychological basis for any mysticism disappears – including
that of a sacred relationship to the powers that be. For this reason,” he
continues, “the pandemic inevitably has undermined the psychological
foundations of the sacred attitude toward Putin’s power.”
“The tragedy of Putin,” Tsipko
suggests, “both as a personality and a leader of Russia consists in the following:
in the first decade of his power, his popularity rose because of his undoubted
achievements” but in the last six years, since Sochi and Crimea, “he began to
give priority to the impossible” for purposes of show and that did nothing for
Russia.
“From this moment, Putin in the same
of temporary external success began to sacrifice the wellbeing of the population.”
What the pandemic has done is to force Putin and all the leaders around him “to
focus attention on Russian poverty and see that 70 percent of the population of
Russia has no savings and lives from paycheck to paycheck.”
And at the same time, the pandemic
has led Russians to recognize at last that “attitudes to combine Russia’s fate
with a willingness to die in the name of the rebirth of Russian great power have
become unnatural,” Tsipko says. As a result, Putin’s triumphalist propaganda no
longer works: he has fallen from the heights back to earth.
“The pandemic has revealed that in
fact, not everything Putin had planned is possible, that the unpredictability
of life is in a position to destroy all the plans of the power” and that many
of the things the regime has set such
store in are meaningless when people are confronted by suffering and death.
Ignoring that reality is “a red line”
no leader can afford to cross, Tsipko says. If he does, he will not remain a
human being; and in times of crisis like the pandemic, he cannot hope to remain
a god either.
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