Paul
Goble
Staunton, May 10 – The coronavirus
pandemic has given an unexpected pause to Russia’s latest drive toward changing
the constitution and thus an opportunity not to be missed to reflect on what
constitutional changes Russia needs as opposed to those which are simply a
convenience to its ruler of the day, Vladimir Pastukhov says.
To put things in more lapidary
language, the London-based Russian scholar suggests, Russia’s struggle with the
medical coronavirus has given it an opportunity to focus on something at least
equal in important, “the other coronavirus” the country suffers from, a “political”
one (novayagazeta.ru/articles/2020/05/10/85318-konstitutsionnaya-vaktsinatsiya).
The constitutional amendments
Vladimir Putin wants would “in fact zero out an enormous era the beginning of
which was laid down not by Gorbachev but by the 20th Congress, which
almost 65 years ago unmasked the cult of the harshest Russian tyrant.” His changes would keep him in power for life,
but that isn’t the real problem Russia faces today.
“The problem I see,” Pastukhov
continues, is that if one thinks not about the replacement of individuals but
about the replacement of a system of power, then the departure of Putin on
which is concentrated too much attention by itself will solve practically
nothing.”
“With a great likelihood, Russia
after Putin, having lived through a small or large time of troubles or split up
into parts either will return to its former autocratic way, under the iron hand
of a new leader.” The name will change but not the system. What is really
needed is to find a vaccine against the political coronavirus or a sacral authoritarianism
Russia suffers from.
According to Pastukhov, “Russian
statehood arose from the same Judeo-Christian cultural roots as West European
statehood. But its evolution followed a different path.” Europeans demystified
the ruler and replaced it with the abstract nation, while Russia made the
sacred quality of the ruler central to its political system.
A certain de-sacralization of power
did occur, “but in an extremely strange way.” The state as bureaucracy was
demystified and lowered in the estimation of the population even as the ruler
was made even more mystically sacred and even “the ombudsman” of the people
against the bureaucracy.
In Russia, the supreme ruler became
as it were “the surrogate of the West European nation, sublimated in a really
existing individual,” Pastukhov argues. The supreme ruler can control the state
bureaucracy then “only becauses he always remained not subject to the control
of anyone.”
This system is remarkably stable but
inevitably ineffective because it either sparks revolution against a sitting
ruler or cannot pass on power to a new one without a serious struggle. It is thus “an historical dead end.” And that has been obvious for a long time and
is obvious under Putin today.
“Putin rules Russia like the head of
a liquidation commission: his goal is to save” the shares for himself and his
allies. “He imitates movement forward.” And he changes the basic system not at
all. As a result, each new ruler “is condemned to be a parody on the Putin
regime, albeit with fewer resources and fewer possibilities.
Many have assumed that the only way
out is to force Russia to adopt a constitutional arrangement like those in
Europe, but that invariably has failed and will fail again because there is lacking
the cultural foundations and experiences which allowed Europeans to adopt them.
Imposing them on Russia will simply generate a backlash sooner or later.
Pastukhov argues that the best way
forward may be to use the Russian vision of the sacredness of the ruler against
itself, by seeking to promote first two and then several centers of sacred
power, thus creating what he calls “sacred multi-centricity.” And he proposes as a first step giving the prime
minister real power derived from the parliament over the state but maintaining
the legitimacy of the president over the country.
Setting this up and institutionalizing it
will not be easy, the London scholar suggests. But it would put in train forces
that would end the compulsion to dictatorship among anyone who becomes the nation’s
leader and thus open the way for a law-based state with real division of powers
and involvement of the population.
Such a development would be possible only
by gradual means rather than a revolution: indeed, a revolution however
pleasing it might be to those who make it would likely end with exactly the
restoration of the old system under new names.
Only gradualism, Pastukhov suggests, will give Russia a chance to escape
autocracy “not for a couple of years but forever.”
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