Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 5 – A major reason
the Khabarovsk protesters have captured so much attention and support across
Russia is that their demand for the right to have one of their own as the head
of the region is shared by many in Russia’s regions and republics and even has
the support of democracy activists in general (tatar-toz.blogspot.com/2020/08/blog-post_70.html).
But now there is evidence that
support for that demand exists beyond the borders of the Russian Federation,
something that could make the Khabarovsk events even more fateful either by
unsettling political arrangements in other former Soviet republics or giving
the Kremlin another reason for cracking down harder than it has so far.
On July 31, the coronavirus claimed the
life of Musa Yerniyazov, the head of the Karakalpak Republic legislature. Born
in Karakalpakstan, he spent most of his career outside the republic but had
been speaker of the regional parliament since 2002 (uzinform.com/ru/news/20200801/50604.html).
Many
Karakalpaks worry that Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev will replace him with
someone lacking any ties to the region and therefore ensuring Tashkent greater
control of a region that has again become a political football among
Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan and the Russian Federation (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/04/will-new-oil-fields-in-aral-sea-basin.html).
A memorial
service for Yerniyazov was held on August 1. Two days later, according to an
email from Aman Sagidullayev, leader of the Karakalpak government in exile, a
group of Karakalpaks went into the main square of the capital Nukus carrying the
republic’s flag and signs declaring that “Citizens of Karakalpakistan Must
Choose the Head of the Republic.”
Uzbek police quickly arrested them,
but their demonstrations show that people in that impoverished republic just
south of the Aral Sea are animated and likely encouraged by the same concerns
that are driving the protests in Khabarovsk, an indication that in the age of the
Internet such events can quickly and easily jump national borders.
Given Tashkent’s tight control of the media,
no additional reports of these events have surfaced yet; but Sagidullayev’s
report is entirely consistent with past developments there. And his emails to
those who follow events in his republic have typically been eventually
confirmed by other sources.
For background on the Karakalpak issue,
which seldom gets much attention unless it becomes involved with other issues,
see
windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/10/crimean-anschluss-infectious-some.html,
windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/10/karakalpak-activists-charge-tashkent.html, windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2017/11/karakalpaks-appeal-to-putin-to-back.html, windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2015/06/karakalpak-separatists-in-uzbekistan.html,
windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2014/11/window-on-eurasia-moscow-again-focusing.html,
windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2014/06/window-on-eurasia-tashkent-cracks-down.html,
windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2014/05/window-on-eurasia-some-karakalpaks-now.html,
and windowoneurasia.blogspot.com/2010/12/window-on-eurasia-karakalpak-separatism.html.)
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