Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 26 – Yesterday,
Deputy Defense Minister Nikolay Pankov said that 50 percent of the uniformed
personnel of the Russian Army are working on contract as professionals rather than
as draftees, a figure that has been achieved as a result of difficulties in the civilian economy
and of new benefits extended to those who sign up.
But precisely for that combination
of reasons, the Russian military is unlikely to be able to meet its plans to
move toward an all-professional army anytime soon if the country maintains a
military of its current size, the economy improves or the government is unable
to continue to boost benefits for servicemen and women.
Even if all those things obtain, the
declining size of the prime draft age or military service pool will mean that
professional military personnel will effectively take people away from jobs in
the civilian sector and become a choke point on the future economic development
of the Russian Federation.
Moreover, the drive toward
professionalism while it almost certainly would lead to a more skilled military
is likely to be opposed by senior generals who still place a high value on the
kind of massive force structures that is only possible with a draft and one
that takes people into the service for relatively short periods.
Nonetheless, Pankov’s statement is
an indication of what the defense ministry is currently trying to do. He said that “Today, we have 300,000 contract
soldiers who are serving either in the ranks or as sergeants and about 200,000
officers. And, in this way, the deputy minister continued, “50 percent of our
army is a contract one” (polit.ru/news/2015/04/25/army/).
According to Pankov, “interest in
contract service has grown thanks to the conditions which are being created for
military personnel.” More than 50,000 of those serving on contract “have been
able to use military-backed mortgages” and thus obtain housing (polit.ru/news/2015/04/25/military_mortgage/).
Three weeks ago,
Col.Gen. Viktor Goremykin, the chief of the defense ministry’s manpower administration,
said that Moscow plans to have all the junior command staff be professionals
rather than draftees and will increase the number of contractors in the ranks
by 50,000 more than Pankov says the army has now (polit.ru/news/2015/04/03/contract/).
That will be an enormously
expensive undertaking, and the Russian government will have to divert funds
from other sectors, including education and public health, if it is to meet
that goal, an indication that a professional army does not solve Russia’s
military problems and may in fact be beyond its reach unless the economy
remains in the doldrums or worse.
But Vladimir Putin may see one great advantage to a professional army, an advantage that he may be willing to beggar the rest of the country to get: Draft-based armies provide a closer check on leaders than do professional ones because the draftees are closer to the rest of the population and more likely to register its objections than are the professionals.
But Vladimir Putin may see one great advantage to a professional army, an advantage that he may be willing to beggar the rest of the country to get: Draft-based armies provide a closer check on leaders than do professional ones because the draftees are closer to the rest of the population and more likely to register its objections than are the professionals.
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