Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 27 – The
Kazakhstan section of the Aral Sea is experiencing what some in the region are
calling “the rebirth” of that body of water, but in fact, what is happening is
something else: the creation of “the first man-made sea” in the world: the
Little Aral in the north thanks to the redirection of flows from the Syrdarya
river.
As a result of the increased flow
from that river, local observers say, the sea has “risen” sufficiently that
Aral’sk, a port city 50 years ago, is now only 17 kilometers from the shore,
not the 150 kilometers it was only a few years ago, allowing the restoration of
the fishing industry (matritca.kz/topnews/25839-v-aral-vernulas-voda-rasstoyanie-ot-aralska-do-berega-sokratilos-s-150-km-do-17-km.html).
On the one hand, this is an
impressive achievement especially if the authorities fulfill their promises to
restore “the northern part of the Little Aral sea over the next three years. And
perhaps most important, it will limit the negative health and economic
consequences the drying up of the Aral has had on the Karakalpak region of
Uzbekistan.
But on the other hand and despite the hype,
the new rise in the sea level in the northern segment of what was a much larger
sea does not mean that the Aral as a whole is on its way to recovery. Unless
there are changes in Uzbekistan’s water use policies or those of Kyrgyzstan and
Tajikistan where rivers that feed the sea rise, the death of Aral will remain irreversible.
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