Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 13 – Russians
continue to support Vladimir Putin as a kind of “distant ‘ambassador of Russia
to the world’ who somewhere defends [their] ‘interests,’” but “the gap between
support of Putin and the absence of support for real power locally and the
system of power built by Putin as such is enormous,” Vladimir Milov says.
The Russian politician and former
deputy energy minister says that “Putin is Putin, but the real administration
in Russia is being carried out in an entirely different way. Putin doesn’t
participate in it … and people have had enough of the monopoly system of
administration” the Kremlin leader has put in place (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=55F4568D6E1D6).
Many haven’t noticed this divide,
Milov continues, because they are distracted by television reporting on “’Putin
and his international adventures,’ but the dissatisfaction of people is very
obvious” especially since “the Ukrainian theme, Crimea and the Donbas in
general do not have importance. These are marginal themes which in general don’t
agitate people.”
To be sure, he continues, “the
passivity and the lack of faith in the possibility of change for the better
among people is great.” Consequently, “the task of politicians is to overcome
this passivity and shake people up.”
Despite polls and voting patterns to the contrary, “this is a completely
achievable task.”
Putin’s ruling “United Russia” Party
“is an absolutely dead brand, like monarchy in 1917. No one will follow it
anywhere,” and thus it is far from clear “how they will raise this dead body
for the 2016 Duma elections.”
“In general,” Milov says, “this
situation looks like the one in 2011 [when protests spread across Russia] even
though all sociologists predicted ‘business as usual’” and confidently
predicted “victory for the party of party in the Duma elections.”
There is a reason sociologists do
so: they “telephone one and the same set of grandmothers once a month who
answer in the same way.” Politicians have a better grasp of the situation, he
suggests, because “they work on the land and feel the real attitudes” of the people.
And thus he urges everyone to remember that “no sociologists predicted” the
2011 protests.
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