Paul
Goble
Staunton, October 9 – By putting
Russian missiles in Kaliningrad and conducting joint exercises with Belarusian
forces, Vladimir Putin is creating a new “Cuban missile crisis,” one that
threatens Europe and the world and that the Kremlin leader won’t end unless the
West takes action to force him to back down, according to Andrey Sannikov.
The leader of the Belarusian
opposition campaign, European Belarus, says that “the aggressive actions of
Russia now can with complete justification be called ‘the Cuban missile crisis’
in Europe.” Putin has consciously escalated tensions and “one can even speak
about preparations for military action,” he says (charter97.org/ru/news/2016/10/8/226350/).
There cannot be
any doubt about what Putin is doing or about Alyaksandr Lukashenka’s
participation in it, given that the Belarusian leader has declared that he is “prepared
to throw the Belarusian army into the defense of the interests of Russia,”
Sannikov says, a statement that has ominous implications in the current
situation.
Sannikov argues that “European
politicians must stop looking for signs of ‘a peace maker’ in the dictator
Lukashenka and recognize that the territory of Belarus, thanks to Lukashenka’s
regime, is completely part of Russia’s military plans.”
The situation is tense and of real
concern, Sannikov says, because “all attempts of the West and above all the US
to reach agreement with Putin have led only to an escalation of tension in the world.
The unpunished bombing of the peaceful population in Syria by Russian aviation
has led only to the further enflaming of the conflict in the Middle East.”
As far as Putin is concerned, Syria
is “the best means” for giving Russian forces training for other tasks. And “what the Kremlin is doing today in
Europe with the use of the territory of Belarus looks like preparation for a
major military operation in which Europe would be invaded via the Suwalki
corridor.”
Given what Putin has done in
Kaliningrad and with Belarus, “Russia would be able to envelop in ‘a pincers’ a
significant part of Central and Eastern Europe, including the Baltic countries
and Poland,” the Belarusian opposition leader says.
“Western politicians must stop being
complacent in their relations with dictators, stop hoping that their aggression
will stop on its own, and take adequate measures in order to oppose this
aggression,” Sannikov says. Otherwise, the future of Europe and the world is
truly going to be bleak.
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