Paul Goble
Staunton,
December 24 – There is at present no “classic cult of personality” about Putin
in Russia, Liliya Shevtsova says. There is only “a small ‘little cult,’” one
that is both artificial and hypocritical, and Putin himself likely understands
that he is no “’real’ tsar” and that his successors will follow the time-honored
Russian practice and denounce and disown him.
Russians
are increasingly fed up with Putin, polls show, the Russian commentator says.
Sixty-one percent say Putin is responsible for Russia’s problems; 79 percent say
his regime is corrupt; and 54 percent say Russia should seek a rapprochement
with the West (glavred.info/opinions/10036322-kult-lichnosti-putina-v-rossii-okonchatelno-umer.html).
Nonetheless, Russians aren’t going
into the streets, at least not yet, Shevtsova says. They don’t see an
alternative, they are frightened that Russia may fall apart, and they are not
sure that such actions could lead to things becoming even worse. As a result, the Kremlin still doesn’t have a
lot to fear.
But ever more Russians are talking
about Putin’s plans to remain in power for the rest of his life and about a
post-Putin future for themselves. And these conversations show that Russians
aren’t prepared to put up with Putin forever and that many expect real changes
when he leaves the scene one way or another.
Such expectations exist not because
anyone thinks Putin can’t orchestrate his successor, Shevtsova continues, but
rather because even if as likely that person comes from the security services
or in circles close to them, the new leader will likely not continue the Putin
line but strike out in a new direction to build his own authority.
“After the departure of Vladimir
Putin, politically or biologically,” she argues, “the new power will try to do
what all Russian leaders have done during transitions: to strengthen themselves
by laying the blame for everything on their predecessor.”
It happened to Stalin; it will
almost certainly happen again with Putin even if he names his own man to replace
him.
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