Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 30 – Invoking the
coronavirus pandemic as an explanation for its moves, the Kremlin has rewritten
the rules not only for tomorrow’s vote but almost certainly for all future
Russian elections, giving the powers even greater possibilities of controlling
outcomes, gelding the opposition, and reducing the legitimacy of all results,
Andrey Pertsev says.
In a commentary for Carnegie’s Moscow
Center, the Kommersant journalist says the pandemic provided a cover for
extending voting over the course of a week, thus making serious monitoring
impossible and opening the way for the authorities to bus their people in and
offer prizes to them (carnegie.ru/commentary/82204).
In this way, Pertsev says, “the
Presidential Administration created ideal conditions to correct the result in
any way necessary and even to make it up entirely arbitrarily.” All the steps it took for the plebiscite, it
has taken before but only in limited and regional ways. Now, it has pulled out
all the stops and will no doubt view this approach as the only correct one in
the future.
Internet posts show Russians have
already seen through this and are thus likely to see any election results as
even more meaningless in the future than they have been earlier in Putin’s
rule. And one key indication that the
regime plans to continue to use the new rules is it has stopped invoking the pandemic
as an excuse and instead described all this as “a convenience.”
And that creates a new set of
problems for the regime: the population will assume that all elections are
fraudulent and won’t need proof. If they protest this as they likely will – indeed,
this new system virtually guarantees that outcome -- the regime will have
little choice but to use repression, further compromising both the electoral
process and its own legitimacy.
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