Paul Goble
Staunton,
November 17 – It has long been axiomatic that ethnic conflicts in the North
Caucasus are rooted in disputes over land both within republics as in Kabardino-Balkaria
and Daghestan and between them as with Ingushetia and Chechnya, but relatively
little attention has been given to the fact that ethnic conflicts elsewhere in
Russia can have the same roots.
And
the neglect of this factor is all the more serious because unlike conflicts in
the North Caucasus which are between non-Russian nationalities and thus at
least potentially subject to Russian management, those elsewhere in the Russian
Federation are more often between a non-Russian nation and the Russian one.
Such
conflicts elsewhere over land and the investment of ethnic meaning in them may
take a long time to emerge – both sides have good reasons to keep them hidden
-- but once they break out into the open, they may threaten Moscow’s ability to
control the situation far more than do even those in the always restive North
Caucasus.
That
is clearly the case in Bashkortostan. There, Fail Alsynov, the head of the Bashkort National
Organization told Radio Liberty Tatar-Bashkir Service journalist Naif Akmal shortly
before he was arrested by the
police that assemblies of Bashkirs in
ten regions and one city have gathered from 300 to 600 people to protest (azatliq.org/a/29595284.html in Bashkir and idelreal.org/a/29600155.html
in Russian).
Among the most important issues agitating
Bashkirs now, he said, was control over land.
The Bashkirs are seeing land that they thought would always be there
bought up by people coming from “Orenburg and other oblasts,” a clear reference
to Russians who have enough money to buy at fire sale prices Bashkir land.
(Although Alsynov did not mention it, Russians
may have an additional reason for such purchases and the Bashkirs for resenting
them: the Orenburg corridor between Bashkortostan and Kazakhstan is a political
issue: Many in the Middle Volga see it as a bridge to independence; many
Russians worry it could be. See windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2018/11/orenburg-corridor-threatens-russia-more.html.)
Alsynov says his team has organized the protests
via the Internet. His VKontakte group, vk.com/boobashkort, has “about 45,000” followers, making it one of the largest
in the Middle Volga and a potentially powerful mobilizing tool. Activists have
also distributed broadsides to those not connected online.
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