Paul Goble
Staunton,
November 13 – Many analysts have explained the passionate opposition of the
Ingush nation to the border accord Yunus-Bek Yevkurov reached with Chechnya’s
Ramzan Kadyrov as reflecting the sensitivity of all peoples in the North
Caucasus to any territorial change given the shortage of land that has arisen
because of explosive population growth.
That
is certainly a good part of the explanation, but there is another and deeper
one that may matter more – the fact that the Chechens and Ingush are both Vaynakh
peoples and share both a common language and a largely common culture. If the
Ingush lose their territory, many of them fear that they will lose their
nationhood as well, Anton Chablin suggests.
If
Chechnya gains territory, it will also move likely with success to transform
the people on it from considering themselves Ingush to viewing themselves as
Chechens, he argues in a Kavkaz Post article.
And if that process continues, Yevkurov will not have anything to divide
with Kadyrov (capost.media/special/obzory/evkurovu_s_kadyrovym_skoro_budet_nechego_delit/).
The Soviet system promoted
differences between the Ingush and Chechens just as it did among the people of
Central Asia as part of its divide-and-rule policy; but now the post-Soviet
Russian government, given Vladimir Putin’s deference to Kadyrov, appears ready
to allow Kadyrov’s Chechnya to expand demographically as well as territorially.
This is likely a one-off approach
and won’t be followed by Moscow elsewhere, but the fact that the Russian
government appears to be ready to move away from this Soviet policy could
generate both fears and expectations among other geographically propinquitous and
culturally similar peoples – and that could make the Ingush crisis even more
significant.
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