Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 22 – The Center for
Social-Labor Rights, an NGO that has been the recipient of numerous
presidential grants, says that in the first quarter of this year, as compared
to the same period in 2018, the number of protests on social issues went up
while the number of those with political agendas went down, Kommersant
reports (kommersant.ru/doc/4010399).
The Center analyzed 429 actions,
both sanctioned and unsanctioned, and reports that what it calls social
protests rose from 86 to 157 while the number of protests it classified as
political fell from 149 to 108, a trend that the Kremlin certainly welcomes but
one that may be more an artifact of the classification system than of reality.
That is because the line between
social and political protests is thin. If people complain about a social issue,
they may be raising political issues because only those in power can solve
them. Nonetheless, the division exists
in the minds of many Russians and has since Soviet times, Lev Gudkov of the
Levada Center told the paper.
Russians “more willingly participate
in social protests than in political ones,” he says, both because they think
they may achieve more if they don’t label their protests political and because “from
their point of view, political actions are the prerogative of the opposition”
rather than of ordinary people.
According to Gudkov, “this is the
customary conformism of the Russian population which has been inherited from
Soviet times.” But precisely because of
this, it is far more difficult that the Center suggests to divide protests neatly
into these categories. Self-designations clearly don’t help, and those who do
the classifying have their own interests.
A more objective finding from the Center
is this: in the first quarter of 2019, there were demonstrations and protests
in places which had never or only rarely had them in the past, a trend that
undercuts the Kommersant-trumped finding in two ways. It suggests the
Kremlin faces a bigger problem than it did.
And, more important, it is an
indication that Russians in places many in the capital and the West write off
as hopelessly backward are in fact becoming more willing to speak up for
themselves – something that in turn means that they are becoming less Soviet in
this way than many, including the Kremlin, assume.
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