Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 17 – The sudden
hospitalization of Daghestan head Vladimir Vasiliyev after he has gotten in hot
water for problems with the Chechen border and an independent journalist is
prompting speculation that this Putin favorite may be on the way out (doshdu.com/2019/06/17/новым-главой-дагестана-могут-назначи/).
Vasiliyev, 69, an outsider whom
Moscow imposed on Makhachkala in 2017 to bring order to the most multi-ethnic
and most Islamic republic within the Russian Federation, has generally been
celebrated for his political skills; but recently he has had serious problems (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/06/chechen-daghestan-border-controversy.html).
Consequently, his hospitalization in
Moscow reportedly for pneumonia (doshdu.com/2019/06/17/главу-дагестана-экстренно-госпитали/)
has led to speculation that this may be a diplomatic illness and the occasion
for a transition in Daghestan. If that is so, the odds’ on favorite to succeed
him is Sergey Melikov, the first deputy head of the Russian Guard.
Should Melikov, 53, become head of
Daghestan, not only would he be an ethnic Russian ruling over a non-Russian
republic but he would truly be “a governor general,” an arrangement that many
commentators have suggested should be revived by Moscow to rule distant and
unruly parts of the empire (e.g., ria.ru/20190215/1550894792.html).
The reason Melikov is being tipped
for the job is not only his current work as head of the Kremlin’s praetorian
guard but also his earlier actions as
presidential plenipotentiary for the North Caucasus Federal District
(2014-2016) and earlier as the general in command of Russian military forces in
that region.
Such an appointment would make sense
given how restive Daghestan remains, but it would also highlight the Kremlin’s
concerns about control of that region and send a message to other non-Russian
republics and to outlying ethnic Russian regions that the center now wants to restore
an even more traditional form of rule than the one by outsiders it has used in
recent years.
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