Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 3 – The transition to
adulthood, from the time of leaving school to the birth of a first child, was
until recently in the North Caucasus strictly defined by traditional patterns,
Yekaterina Mitrofanova, a specialist at the Moscow Institute of Demography. But
now it is changing rapidly, increasingly diverse across the region and faster
for men than for women.
In an article in the current issue
of the Russian-language Journal for
Research on Social Policy (jsps.hse.ru/article/view/8862)
that has now been summarized by Yekaterina Mitrofanova of the IQ portal (iq.hse.ru/news/280786439.html),
the demographer says that there have been more changes in the socio-economic
events than in the socio-demographic.
The first of these includes
completing school, financial independence and a first job; the second, the
beginning of sexual relations, marriage (partnership), and the birth of
children. Several decades ago, both were
predictable for almost all people in the
North Caucasus, the researcher says; now, many are changing at a rapid rate.
Nonetheless, the sociodemographic
markers of coming of age remain almost completely traditional in the region,
Mitrofanova says. One example of this is that the time between first sexual
experiences and marriage and children is as it has been in the past very short,
especially in comparison to other parts of Russia where it is getting longer
and longer.
Relatively few North Caucasian
couples have experience of living together before getting married, and people
in the region remain committed to the idea that children must be born to
settled families, again setting the region at odds with the rest of the Russian
Federation, the demographer says.
Women in the North Caucasus have their
first child earlier and have more children than do women elsewhere in Russia,
although over the last 30 years, the average fertility rate in the region has
declined significantly. What is unchanged
is that North Caucasian women do not seem prepared to put off marriage and
childbirth until much later in life.
One life experience that may matter
politically is that the time period between school graduation and taking a
first job is about two years in the North Caucasus for men and just under a
year for women. All other people in Russia, Mitrofanova continues, average only
“about three months” between school and work.
The Moscow scholar does not mention it, but this gap between school and work has implications for protest movements in the region. Young people there are at loose ends for longer than they are elsewhere and thus are more likely to be drawn into radical movements than are their coevals elsewhere in Russia.
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