Paul
Goble
Staunton, May 13 – Over the last six
months, Tatar activists have suggested that Bashkir officials are seeking to
have Tatars living in Bashkortostan reidentify as Bashkirs in order to boost
that nation’s numbers and reduce the number of Tatars. And they have even suggested that the Bashkir
authorities are prepared to falsify the figures to get their way
(For background on Tatar fears and
calls to oppose what some see as Ufa’s ethnic offensive, see windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/03/ufa-has-been-reidentifying-tatars-as.html,
windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/02/in-advance-of-2020-census-kazan-urged.html
and windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/12/ufa-ready-for-2020-census-kazan-isnt.html.)
Six weeks ago, Ruslan Gabbasov, an
activist in the embattled Bashkort nationalist organization (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/03/if-ufa-shuts-down-bashkort-other.html),
said that both Tatars and Bashkirs are worried about such trends but not in the
same way because of their different histories and aspirations (idelreal.org/a/30507055.html).
And he argued that Tatar fears are
overblown and that both Muslim Turkic peoples face a common threat, Moscow’s
assimilationist and divide-and-conquer policies. But despite that call for
cooperation, his words may have exactly the opposite effect and exacerbated nervousness
and anger in Kazan.
Now, in a new article for the
IdelReal portal, Gabbasov says that he “personally and specifically accuses
Radii Khabirov, the head of Bashkortostan, as being behind the start of this
conflict” (idelreal.org/a/30602441.html).
The activist’s comments are less a change in direction than a change in focus.
Six weeks ago, he was focusing on the
differences in demography between Tatarstan many of the members of the titular
nationality of that republic live beyond its borders and Bashkortostan, most of
whose members of the titular nationality live within them. Now, he is focusing on
the specific actions and motivations of officials in Ufa and Kazan.
Unlike the leaders of Tatarstan who
enjoy a certain independence and the possibility of openly criticizing Moscow,
Khabirov like most Bashkir leaders has shown himself to be committed to being
more Muscovite in orientation than the Kremlin in the hopes that this will win
him favor, Gabbasov says.
At the start of his tenure in Ufa,
Khabirov declared that he viewed his “chief task” is to be worthy of “the trust
of the president,” not the Bashkir people but the man in the Kremlin. And to that end, he has made statements and
taken actions designed to help Moscow out, by weakening ties between Ufa and
Kazan by means of the language issue.
There is a real controversy
concerning those who speak northwestern Bashkir, with the Bashkirs certain that
it is a Bashkir dialect and the Tatars equally certain that it is a Tatar one. And
the Tatars fear that playing up the Bashkir angle will allow Ufa to count more
Bashkirs and fewer Tatars in the upcoming census.
This issue, Gabbasov says, “is not
as significant as the problems of federalism, but at the same time it is very
sharp” and can be ginned up to increase animosity between the Bashkirs and the Tatars,
animosity the only beneficiary of which is Moscow which is using its long-tested
“divide and rule” strategy.
“divide and rule” strategy.
If Bashkirs and Tatars could sit down
together without Moscow’s interference, the language issue could be resolved.
But someone in the center doesn’t want that to happen, and Khabirov by his apparent
rather than real support for Bashkir “nationalists” is simply helping the
center out.
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