Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 7 – KPRF leader
Gennady Zyuganov has called on his followers to vote against Vladimir Putin’s constitutional
amendments in the July 1 referendum, an action likely prompted by his own
concerns about keeping Russia’s communists united but one with potentially far
reaching consequences for Putin’s political system.
At the present time, Zyuganov faces
opposition both from more liberal members of his party in major cities and with
more radical members in the regions who believe that the KPRF leader has been
too cozy with the regime and insufficiently ready to win the support they
believe such a platform would attract.
Whether the party leader can recover
his standing (ura.news/articles/1036280373), although it is likely the more numerous radicals
will be pleased by the expulsion of a liberal (novayagazeta.ru/news/2020/06/07/162127-deputata-mosgordumy-elenu-shuvalovu-isklyuchili-iz-kprf)
and his opposition to the amendments
(newsru.com/russia/04jun2020/kprfconst.html).
But this action, clearly taken with
an eye to the September elections, has another and more significant
consequence. As Darya Garmonenko of Nezavisimaya gazeta puts it, by
making this move “the KPRF is violating the agreement between the systemic
parties and the powers that be,” a key element of Putin’s system (ng.ru/politics/2020-06-07/1_7880_kprf.html).
Under that system, the systemic
parties can disagree on many issues but they cannot challenge the Kremlin
directly. Now, however, given the importance that Putin has attached to the referendum,
the KPRF has done that directly, “violating” the existing rules of the game and
opening the way for other “systemic” parties to follow.
That could change the way business
is done in the legislatures and the outcome of elections. She cites Konstantin
Kalachev, head of the Political Experts Group, who says that it is now possible
that “not only the left but the protest electorate as a whole will come
together before the future elections.”
That broader electorate, he says, “in
large measure is disappointed in the actions of the liberal opposition which
has turned out to be disorganized, divided and indecisive. But this will happen
only if the [KPRF] conducts an active campaign and makes a real effort at
mobilization,” something he suggests is now quite possible.
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