Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 9 – At the polls in
Belarus as in the streets of Khabarovsk, civic nations are being born across
the former Soviet space, stripping “aging autocrats” of their legitimacy and
forcing Western countries to make clear whether they stand with the people or
with the powers, Andrius Kubilius says.
Lukashenka, Putin and other dictatorial
rulers are being challenged by people who want the rights these leaders have
taken from them, the former Lithuanian prime minister says; and “leaders of
Western democracies, especially the EU, will have to answer one question” (facebook.com/205903796109678/posts/3650921801607843/).
“Do they stand with illegitimate
authoritarians or with the legitimate civic nations of Belarusians and Russians?” The future of those two countries
and others as well “in the whole long-suffering post-Soviet area” depends on
how they reply as does their standing as supporters of democracy and freedom
around the world.
“I hope our reply will be unwavering
as unjust acts cannot create law and stolen elections cannot make a president
legitimate. The slogan “for your freedom and ours” means that for the peoples
and governments of the Belarusian and Russian nations is every bit “as
important as our own.”
Unfortunately, many in the West are
focusing on their own problems rather than those of others and the siren strong
of stabil’nost’ uber alles remains strong; but stability maintained by
force alone, stability without legitimacy, will ultimately lead to far worse
outcomes than policies intended to force dictators to yield to their peoples.
Kubilius’ argument is especially
compelling for two reasons. On the one hand, he is pointing to the growth of
civic nations rather than the revival of ethnic ones alone. Indeed, if the
civic nations are not supported, there is a great danger that only ethno-nationalism
with all of its problems will become dominant and may even be hijacked by the
dictators.
And on the other, the Lithuanian
leader is suggesting that what is happening in Belarus today is of a piece with
what has been happening in the streets of Khabarovsk for the last four weeks,
two movements which are seeking to recapture the dreams of democracy of a
generation ago and that should have the right to expect support from democrats around
the world.
If the people of Belarus and the
people of Russia get such support, there is a chance that civic nations will win
out benefiting those two countries and the world. If they don’t or if support
is limited to expressions of concern as now, the future for both and for the
West as well will be bleak indeed.
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