Paul Goble
Staunton,
March 30 – “The longing for ‘former greatness’” that many Russians feel is “playing
a bad joke” on them, Olga Irisova writes in “Moskovsky komsomolets” today,
because it has led them to don “thick rose-colored glasses” and engage in deep
denial about reality, “subconsciously blocking out” anything which doesn’t fit
with their preferred imagery.
As a
result, the Moscow commentator says, “the majority of Russians cannot accept
the fact that with their support the leadership has committed a mistake which
has cost the country its economic well-being and solid international status” but thinks it is now the leader of an alliance
with China (mk.ru/politics/2015/03/29/kak-druzhili-slon-i-moska.html).
Most of
them, Irisova continues, cannot cope with the notion that “in the world at
large, Russia is viewed not as a superpower and guarantor of security but more
often as an unpredictable player.” They
think that Vladimir Putin gained stature when he threatened to use nuclear
weapons, forgetting that his role model was a North Korean leader no one
respects.
Indeed,
none of the ideas about effectively challenging the US and the unipolar world
or standing on its own or allying with China to oppose the West stand up to
even the most cursory examination, she says.
Russia is in no position to dictate to China no matter how much many
Russians would like to believe otherwise.
“No one
in Beijing intends to make a fateful bet on a Russia-China union,” the Moscow
commentator says. That country isn’t even willing to recognize Russia’s
annexation of Crimea. Instead, it has given Kyiv 3.6 billion US dollars in
loans so that the Ukrainian government can end its dependence on natural gas
from Russia.
Moscow
TV’s “talking heads” for the last year have been telling Russians how
fortunate they are to have turned from the West to the East. “We don’t need
the West,” they claim. “We have a wonderful partner in the form of China.”
But in fact, China views Russia not even as playing the “elder sister” role Andrey
Kortunov has suggested.
Beijing does not even see Moscow as a sister at all. Instead, its
interest in Russia is indistinguishable from its interest in African or Latin
American countries which have natural resources China can use, Irisova say.
But Russians cannot see this through “the rose-colored glasses” they use to
look at the world.
China
is an economic giant, as is the West. The Russian economy is only one-fifth
the size of either. And in high technology areas, the gap between China and
the West, on the one hand, and Russia, on the other, is only getting larger.
Russians should be able to see this economic situation, but they don’t.
But they also are failing to see that China is playing a much larger role in
international security affairs, a role it is assuming not by entering into a
confrontation with the US and driving itself into a corner as Russia has but
by showing itself capable of playing a cooperative role.
China
is hardly likely to scrap what has been an effective approach in favor of
Russia’s which has failed, but Russians who remain in deep denial about this
as well as about almost everything having to do with the power and status of
their country can’t see it. That of
course points to more troubles ahead.
|
No comments:
Post a Comment