Paul Goble
Staunton, May 18 – Adolf Hitler
reportedly was confident he’d get away with killing the Jews because “no one
talks about the Armenians anymore.”
Tragically, Vladimir Putin now is even more confident he’ll get away
with his “hyphenated” genocide of the Crimean Tatars because few are willing
even to raise the issue of his Anschluss of the Ukrainian peninsula and his
continuing attacks on the Crimean Tatar nation.
The reason for Putin’s confidence is
obvious: when Western leaders do talk about Crimea and the Crimean Tatars – and
they do so ever more rarely -- they make declarations that even they know they
will not maintain: they’ve said they won’t end sanctions on Moscow until Russia
returns Crimea to Ukraine. But pressed by their own businesses and believing
they “need” Moscow for other tasks, they will eventually lift those sanctions
regardless of what Russia does.
Indeed, the Kremlin leader clearly
views the recent embarrassing visits of German, French, and American leaders to
him not as an indication that he must change course but rather as confirmation
that what he has been doing in Crimea and Ukraine more generally is working.
Thus, he sees no reason not to continue the policies that he has pursued up to
now.
On this the 71st
anniversary of Stalin’s deportation of nearly a quarter of a million Crimean
Tatars, an action that led to the deaths of more than 100,000 and clearly constitutes
an act of genocide, and at a time when Putin’s own actions are extending that
crime against humanity, it is time to think about what to do next and how we
might get there.
On this date, which the Russian
occupation authorities are doing everything they can to play down, we all are
or should be Crimean Tatars, as the Crimean Institute for Strategic Studies
entitled a new video, lest we betray our values and fall into the trap that
Pastor Niemoeller described so elegantly long ago (youtube.com/watch?v=JdeNd0La7dE&feature=youtu.be).
There is an obvious and relatively
easy way out, but it is one that no Western leader yet has had the vision or courage
to pursue: the adoption of a non-recognition policy regarding Russia’s illegal
annexation of Crimea and its continuing and even expanding repression of the
peoples of that Ukrainian land, first and foremost the Crimean Tatars.
The model for what Western countries
can and should do for Crimea is what the United States did in 1940 in response
to Stalin’s occupation of the three Baltic countries: a declaration based on
the 1930 Stimson Doctrine that the US would never recognize changes in borders
achieved by force alone and that worked effectively for more than 50 years.
Why was it effective? Because it was
tightly drawn, put in place for the long term, and did not preclude an
evolution in relations between Washington and Moscow on other issues. The US
and the USSR could and did sign agreements on other issues, but despite that,
the US did not do away with its non-recognition policy – and many other Western
countries followed its lead.
That policy meant that the US
maintained relations with the diplomats who represented the pre-occupation
governments, did not allow senior US officials to visit the occupied countries,
and required that all maps issued by the US government specify that Soviet
claims to Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania were not recognized as legitimate by
Washington.
And further it meant that ultimately
the three Baltic peoples were encouraged to seek the end of the occupation and
the recovery of their rightful independence, a process that took half a century
– far longer than the apparent time horizons of current Western leaders – but one
that meant that Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania are now again full members of the
Western community.
Can the West be persuaded to live up
to its principles with regard to Crimea and the Crimean Tatars? In the current
environment, that is a far harder task. But the Crimean Institute for Strategic
Studies has shown the way in a film clip posted on Youtube in advance of this
sad anniversary (youtube.com/watch?v=JdeNd0La7dE&feature=youtu.be).
Building on the “I
am Charlie” movement that emerged following the vicious Islamist attacks on a
French satirical journal, the Crimean Institute has suggested that today “we are
all Crimean Tatars” or at least must be if we are to avoid the trap Pastor
Niemoeller described so elegantly so long ago.
Today, Putin is coming for the
Crimean Tatars and the Ukrainians. Tomorrow, if no one says anything, he will
come for others and ultimately for us. Speaking
out against his crimes against humanity and crimes against the international
system is thus in our own self-interest as well as that of ordinary morality. A
non-recognition policy must be part of that effort.
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