Paul
Goble
Staunton, May 14 – In a step that
might seem absurd given the composition of Armenia’s population but that appears
likely to send shockwaves through the Caucasus and perhaps further, the
Assembly of Muslims of Armenia has created the position of mufti for the
republic and named Arsen Safaryan, a graduate of an Iranian seminary in Qum, to
head it.
There are three reasons for thinking
that this move may have far more consequences than a first glance might
suggest. First, the Assembly of Muslims
of Armenia explicitly views the new muftiate as the supervisory body for
Muslims not only in Armenia but in occupied Karabakh, a further challenge to the
restoration of Azerbaijani sovereignty there.
Second, this move challenges the
Baku-based Muslim Spiritual Directorate (MSD) of the Caucasus led by
Allakhshukyur Pashazade, who claims to supervise Shiites across the former
Soviet space, given that Armenian Muslims say the Soviet-era holdover’s
religious training is “doubtful” (caucasreview.com/2015/05/izbran-muftij-armenii-i-nagornogo-karabaha/).
And third, this move gives Iran an
opening to expand its influence among Shiia not only in the post-Soviet space,
also a direct challenge to Azerbaijan, but also among the nearly 400,000
Armenian Muslims (the Hemshins) living in the Middle East and Europe and also
among the Yezidis who vastly outnumber the Shiia in Armenia.
Prior to the Armenian-Azerbaijani war,
there were thousands of Azerbaijani Muslims in Armenia, but most of them have
fled, and Muslims there, most of whom are ethnically Armenian, number only
about 1,000 people in all; and there is only one working mosque. In addition,
there are Muslim Kurds and the Yezidis, a group some but not all count as Islamic.
Even if one adds the population of
Nagorno-Karabakh to this group, the number of Muslims is still small: Although
they formed more than a quarter of the population of the autonomy prior to the start
of the Armenian-Azerbaijani war in 1988, Muslims there number only a few
hundred there now.
The small size of the Muslim
community in Armenia and Armenian-controlled areas of Azerbaijan thus strongly
suggests that the creation of a Yerevan muftiate is more about foreign than
domestic policy and may advance Iranian interests even more than Armenian ones,
undermining the Baku MSD and giving Iran
another channel to spread its influence.
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