Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 16 – The Putin
regime, like the Stalin regime before it, Irina Pavlova says, rarely provides
advance information about what it plans to do, thus opening the way for
competing interpretations, ranging from condemnation to exoneration, of what
its top leaders do say.
That pattern, the US-based Russian
historian says, means that unguarded outbursts by those in or near the center
of power are especially valuable; and in her latest post, she focuses on the
implications of what she calls “the revelation of Sergey Markov” about what may
be next for Putin’s Russia (ivpavlova.blogspot.com/2016/04/blog-post_15.html).
At the end of a talk show on Moscow’s
Central TV yesterday, Markov, a political analyst close to the Kremlin may have
said more than he intended when he “blurted” out the following, Pavlova
suggests.
“The Russian people,” Markov said, “are
not against the strong; they are simply against the strong stealing … As
concerns ideology, the Russian people really wants justice. This is its
ideology. The ruling elite however prefers to steal the country and therefore its
ideology is glamour and shamelessness raised to the point of a principled
position.”
He continued: “The group of former
KGB officers who took power in the country and saved it knows that this is the ideology
of the people but it is afraid. It wants to reconcile this elite and this
people because it understands that the future is in reconciliation and not in
civil war.”
“What
follows from this?” Pavlova asks rhetorically. What is this “group of former
KGB officers,” of whom some have said Markov himself is one, planning? Given
that there is unlikely to be anything new, the most likely outcome are “show
trials against representatives of the elite who have stolen in particularly
large amounts” intended to “reconcile” the elite and the people.
That
would constitute, the Russian historian says, “a new edition of the Great
Terror.”
“Such
trials,” she says, will again be “a warning for the rest” especially because
the Russian elite knows that far from all of its members will be able to “flourish
abroad for without Russia it is nothing.”
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