Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 19 – Vladimir Putin
has not gone abroad since November 2015, except for a brief visit to Belarus
which he does not consider a separate country, and thereby has “isolated
himself” from world leaders in ways that in part recall the behavior of his
early Soviet predecessors, according to Oleg Panfilov.
But unlike them, Putin has been able
to attract both telephonic contacts from Western leaders and a regular flow of
Western foreign ministers and other senior officials, a flow that reinforces
his authority among the Russian people by playing to his obvious conviction
that the world should come to him rather than the other way round.
In a commentary for RFE/RL,
Panfilov, a professor at Tbilisi’s Ilya State University and the former
director of the Moscow Center for Extreme Journalism, points to Putin’s lack of
foreign travel as “an important detail” of current Russian and international
policy that has seldom been noted (ru.krymr.com/content/article/27681959.html).
Putin’s absence of travel over the
last year is especially striking, the Russian scholar says, because between
2000 when he first became president and 2014 when he annexed Ukraine’s Crimea
and invaded the Donbas, the current Kremlin leader made “202 working, official
and state visits to various countries, half of which were to the countries of
the post-Soviet space.”
The Kremlin leader’s restricted
travel abroad now “repeats the history of the first decades of Soviet power
when the first leaders self-isolated themselves.” After 1917, Lenin never once
went abroad, and Stalin did so only twice, to Tehran in 1943 and Potsdam in
1945, places where the Soviet army was nearby or in occupation of.
Travel by chiefs of state and heads
of government have many purposes, Panfilov points out; and in the first part of
his rue, “foreign trips were part of Putin’s cult of personality, especially
after 2002” when he took control of Russian television and could thus ensure
how his trips would be covered.
“Each of his trips were then
accompanied by lengthy reports” designed to show Russians that their leader was
someone other world leaders respected and wanted to meet. Obviously, Kremlin-controlled television did
not show the protests which greeted Putin during most of his foreign visits,
protests sparked by the murder of journalists and opponents and the invasions
of Georgia and Ukraine.
In recent years, Panfilov continues,
many of Putin’s trips abroad were occasions of major protest actions, even in
countries like Armenia and Belarus, which are supposed to be pro-Moscow in
orientation. That undercuts what Putin
wants to achieve and reflects the fact that he has little to offer post-Soviet
states.
Regarding countries beyond the
former Soviet orbit, Putin’s situation is “still worse.” These countries were
not that closely connected to Russia in the past; and they and especially their
populations do not approve of what he has been doing in recent years within
Russia and toward Russia’s neighbors.
“With the introduction of sanctions,
the West has given Putin to understand that it does not intend to put up with
this anymore,” Panfilov continues. As a
result, the Kremlin cannot save itself by means of its own propaganda which now
is effective exclusively on the Russian audience and with the single goal” of
maintaining Putin in power.
Obviously, politicians and diplomats
will continue to go to Moscow: they and their countries do not want a war with
Russia. But the fact that Putin no longer is welcome abroad means that he
cannot use such events for his own purposes and thus, Panfilov implies, the
Kremlin leader is isolated in ways that he hasn’t been before – and by his own
hand.
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