Paul
Goble
Staunton, February 25 – With great
pomp, Moscow has rolled out plans for a new aircraft carrier (lenta.ru/news/2018/02/25/avianos/
and newsru.com/russia/25feb2018/zvezdasays.html),
but a Chinese expert says that “Russian pride” means that the new one will look
like its Soviet predecessors rather than correspond to the standards the US has
set in this field.
And a Chinese expert says that this
same “pride” which “does not allow Russia to learn from others” means that not
only any future aircraft carrier will lag behind those of other countries but
that many of its other military and indeed civilian projects will lag behind as
well (mil.news.sina.com.cn/jssd/2018-02-13/doc-ifyrpeie2568637.shtml;
in Russian, at inosmi.ru/military/20180222/241533384.html).
On the one hand, the author of the
Chinese Sina.com military portal says, the new Russian plans show that Moscow
plans for its new carrier to have two trampolines and an electro-magnetic
catapult for launching planes, real progress. But on the other, Russia lacks
the capacity to develop the systems it says it will use and thus will continue
to rely on old ones.
Electro-magnetic catapults are
cutting edge technology, the Chinese says; and currently are found only on the
Nimits and Gerald Ford class aircraft carriers of the US navy. Indeed, they were introduced only in July
2017; and at present, the Beijing writers continue, “only the US and China”
have this technology. Russia doesn’t.
According
to the Chinese commentator, Beijing’s “third aircraft carrier will use
electro-magnetic catapults.” If that proves to be the case, he continues, “China
will become the second country in the world whose aircraft carriers will have
electro-magnetic catapults of domestic production.”
For
Russia, developing such machinery is “a distant dream,” especially because of the
disordering of the Soviet defense industry with the collapse of the USSR and
because of Russia’s unwillingness, in contrast to China’s, to learn from others
and use that knowledge to develop its own models.
The
Chinese says he “fears that present-day Russia will not even be able to
independently build an aircraft carrier with a conventional trampoline let
alone one with electro-magnet catapults.” Building such a ship is something “only
a great power” can do. And Russia in this sphere isn’t one.
Since
1991, he continues, “Russia has practically not produced large ships with
displacements of more than 5,000 tons.” And third countries that have acquired
Soviet-era aircraft carriers have been forced to refit them in order to bring
them closer to present-day international standards.
The
Chinese expert suggests that Russia should “concentrate its attention on
restoring industry for producing aircraft carriers” rather than announcing
plans for ships its industrial base cannot now support. To do that, they say, Moscow should focus on
refitting its only remaining carrier, the Kuznetsov, and use that as a learning
experience.
Russians
have long dreams of being a great naval power, the Chinese author concludes,
but “unfortunately, a Russian pride which does not permit them to learn from
others keeps getting in the way. This
will ruin them.”
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