Paul
Goble
Staunton, December 31 – For the
other former Soviet republics, the end of the USSR was “a soft divorce” from
the empire, but for Russia, it “brought no change” in the relationship between
Moscow and the regions, Vadim Shtepa says. Indeed, “’from the beginning, ‘the
new Russia’ did not foresee the exit of any regions.”
“This is often forgotten,” the
Russian regionalist who edits the Tallinn-based Region.Experet portal; “but it
is an extremely indicative moment in the process of ‘the rebirth of the Russian
Empire’ because it represents a step back not only from Grobachev’s “new union”
but also from the Soviet one (region.expert/treaty_or_collapse/).
Evidence for this came even before
the USSR came apart: In November 1991, Yeltsin dispatched a planeload of
Muscovite special servicemen to Chechnya in an attempt to introduce martial law
there “in the name of ‘preserving the territorial integrity of the RSFSR.’” Yeltsin’s “’federative treaty’” of March 1992
did nothing to change that attitude of the center.
Shtepa cites his own observation of
four years ago that the new treaty represented “a remake of the empire in which
‘the metropolitan center’ kindly shared some small authority with ‘the
colonies,’” an indication that “those who suppose the empire died together with
the disintegration of the USSR continue to live under a great illusion.”
And they have not been paying
attention to what Kremlin officials says. Sergey Kiriyenko, a close aide to the
Russian president, for example has directly stated that “the Russian state is not
build on a treaty basis” (forbes.ru/mneniya-column/vertikal/284247-zakat-federatsii-kogda-rossiya-vernulas-k-imperskomu-ustroistvu),
oblivious to the fact that by making
that remark he “denies the Russian Federation as such.”
That this is the current situation
does not mean it cannot change and change quickly: Few in 1989 thought the
Soviet Union would dissolve in 1991, Shtepa says. Federative or confederative
treaties in Russia are “not in principle impossible” but they are almost
certainly so if the capital remains in Moscow.
That is because, the Russian
regionalist argues, “this city, operating on the basis of its centuries-old
tradition will inevitably reproduce the empire” because its denizens will insist on building any state from the top
down rather than the bottom up as federal or confederal relations require.
Related to this is whether a future state
in Eurasia will be called Russia. In Is Russia Possible After the Empire
(ridero.ru/books/vozmozhna_li_rossiya_posle_imperii/),
Shtepa argues that “the more Russian
wants to be an empire today, the fewer chances that post-imperial republics
will tomorrow want to be called ‘Russian.’”
One thing is clear, however, the
regionalist continues. “The only alternative to a real federalization of Russia
is its complete disintegration since in the 21st century, an
imperial system of administration is simply not viable.” But at the same time, “it
isn’t necessary to be afraid of the disintegration of Russia.”
“The disintegration of the empire is
not only in the interests of the entire surrounding world but also and in the first
instance in the interests of the Russians themselves for the simple reason that
under conditions of the empire they are only going to continue to be cannon
fodder or, in the best case, the object of state theft.”
Shtepa concludes that he hopes that “the
new republics will respect international law and conduct a completely different
policy.” The record of the post-Soviet states
since 1991 is mixed; but the approach of the non-Russian countries has been
consistently better than that of the Muscovite state. Unlike it, they aren’t trying
to remain or regain an empire.
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