Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 5 – After being
largely ignored in the runup to the referendum on amendments to the constitution,
the change which establishes federal subjects as one of the forms of the territorial
arrangement of the Russian Federation alongside oblasts, krays and republics is
now the subject of intense interest and examination.
One analyst, Parmen Posokhov argues
that Putin could hand these territories over to his loyalists who would then
play the role of 20th century variant of Ivan the Terrible’s oprichniks
and thus play a key role in the management of in the as yet-unresolved Putin succession (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/07/amendment-allowing-for-federal.html).
Now, a second analyst, Arkhangelsk
journalist Anatoly Bednov suggests that Putin will use the possibilities the
option of federal territories present to weaken and undermine the existing
federal subjects in general and the non-Russian republics in particular and end
by making Russia beyond the ring road “a colony of Moscow” (region.expert/oprichnina federal
territories as threat
In what might appear a paradox, the
Kremlin which is so concerned with maintaining the territorial integrity of the
Russian Federation as a whole, is “prepared to violate the integrity of the
subjects which make it up” and to do so in a hybrid fashion rather than by policies
developed through discussion and debate.
Some writers have pointed out,
Bednov says, that other federative states, including Canada and Australia have “federal
territories,” but these are in largely unpopulated areas and in any case have
not been carved out of existing federal units.
“But in Russian everything is possible,” and that is just the problem
here.
If Moscow wants to construct a trash
dump on the territory of an oblast or republic and the latter doesn’t want it,
then the center may be able to declare the land it needs “a federal territory”
and take it away from the leaders and peoples of the existing federal subjects,
the Arkhangelsk writer continues.
And if Moscow does take the land
away from them, it doesn’t have to run it directly itself. It can hand it over
to mixed public-private corporations like the Hudson Bay Company or the East India
Company and thus privatize the Russian state in yet another and even more
direct way than it has elsewhere.
Bednov says that such a possibility was
even discussed a few years back with respect to Siberia and the Russian Far
East, although nothing came of it then. Now, depending on the law that the Duma
must pass to implement the new constitutional amendment, that could happen and
not just there.
“With the help of this ‘Shiyes
amendment,’” he argues, “Russia will finally be converted into a Muscovite
colony,” where the center both directly and indirectly will run everything and
where the colonized will have no voice and may not even survive – yet another
reason Putin is ignoring the needs and rights of the people and calling for
more immigrants to replace them.
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