Friday, March 16, 2018

Trump May Negotiate with Putin for the Same Reasons He’s Talking with Kim Jong-Un, Novoye Voennoye Obozreniye Suggests

Paul Goble

            Staunton, March 16 – The editors of Novoye voyennoye obozreniye, the military affairs supplement to Nezavisimaya gazeta, suggest that the trajectory of relations between North Korea’s Kim Jong-Un and US President Donald Trump may be a model for possible talks between Washington and Moscow at the highest level.

            For some months, North Korea’s Kim escalated the situation by developing nuclear weapons and ICBMs, to which Trump responded by threatening to destroy North Korea with an attack unprecedented in its ferocity, hardly the situation out of which one would expect talks to emerge (

            But then Kim launched his charm offensive in South Korea at the Olympics and, through Seoul’s diplomats, extended an invitation to Trump to meet with the North Korean leader in talks where almost all the issues the US has expressed concern about would be on the table. To the surprise of everyone, Trump accepted and a meeting is now planned for this spring.

            Whether that session will lead to a breakthrough very much remains to be seen, but clearly, the editors say, there is a desire on the part of both sides to move forward after being so close to war only a few weeks ago.  Trump is confident of his unique personal skills to make a deal by scrambling the pieces on the board, and Kim has taken advantage of that fact.

            Consequently, the editors of Novoye voyennoye obozreniye continue, there is no reason to assume that a decision by one side in a conflict to take steps that the other views as offensive precludes such conversations. Instead, it is precisely the case with the current constellation of leaders that threatening actions followed by openness for talks may have the opposite effect.

            The paper does not outline the ways in which Putin’s behavior has resembled Kim’s – to do so in Russia today would probably get the paper closed.  But it does ask the provocative question: “Is Washington ready to negotiate with Moscow?” Perhaps, although the paper doesn’t say so, for similar reasons reflecting both the situation and the nature of the players.

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