Paul Goble
Staunton,
August 25 – Vladimir Pastukhov and Anton Orekh have suggested the increasingly random
quality of political repression in Russia as an indication his regime is moving
toward state terror (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2018/08/putin-has-moved-from-targeted.html
and windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2018/08/fight-against-extremism-increasingly.html).
But Kseniya Kirillova, a US-based
Russian journalist, says that “the element of unpredictability in the use of
force and the randomness of the choice of victims arose in the new Russia many
years before the beginning of full-scale repressions,” although before 2014,
this pattern was rarely true in the political sphere (svoboda.org/a/29435107.html).
Instead,
this trend occurred first and foremost in economic areas where individual officials
often took action without reference to any rules or decisions from above,
something that gave these actions an unpredictable and random quality that few
could make sense of, the journalist continues.
However,
among dissidents before 2014, Kirillova says, “there existed certain unwritten
rules which to a certain extent made it possible to calculate risks. Now,
however, the sphere of unpredictable reprisals has shifted from the area of
economic lawlessness into that of political persecution.”
But
she argues that “the growth of uncertainty about tomorrow and the unpredictability
of the application of force by itself are not preconditions for the
establishment in a country of an atmosphere of terror and for the formation of ‘the
Stockholm syndrome’ among he population.”
Those things can happen in other countries as well. More than that is
needed.
And
those factors exist. Unlike in developed democracies, Kirillova says, “for many
in Russia, the reaction to uncertainty becomes a search for special links with the
state because only in this do people see a defense from arbitrariness. Other defense
mechanisms, besides special displays of loyalty, simply don’t exist.”
Those
mechanisms had been undermined long “before the beginning of the wave of repressions
and ‘extremist’ cases;” and as a result, “for years, ‘the Stockholm syndrome’ had
been formed: an atmosphere of total arbitrariness, in which the supposed ‘executioner’
is at the same time conceived as ‘a savior’ – that is, as the only force
capable of stopping arbitrariness.”
It
is true, she says, that “before 2014, displays of loyalty mostly lay in the
area of open political activity – joining United Russia and other pro-Putin movements
or in bribes and kickbacks. Now though, when public displays guarantee nothing
and property can be taken from even those who have ‘correctly’ shared it,” many
are writing denunciations instead.
That
shift, Kirillova says, not only destroys whatever horizontal ties there are in
Russian society but ensures that repressions will be carried out in many cases
without any clear direction from above, a pattern that grew out of earlier economic
arbitrariness and thus makes this move toward unpredictability even more
rapid.
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