Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 2 – “Russia has a
plebiscitary state,” Grigory Yudin, a sociologist at the Moscow Higher School
of Social and Economic Sciences, says; and it is now “at the sage of
decomposition” both for reasons that are common to all such states and for
those which are specific to the Putin regime.
“The common problem of all regimes
of a plebiscitary type is that they are constructed on the idea that it is
necessary too appoint someone at their head and that further, the entire
apparatus, including the parliament, any legislative organs and all organs of
operational administration will be subordinate to him” (echo.msk.ru/programs/personalno/2455735-echo/).
All these organs will “simply work
as a bureaucracy,” the sociologist continues, an idea that “sounds very
attractive but that ends in one and the same way, with the quality of this
bureaucracy falling very sharply. And people begin to look in a different way at
the top man who really has all the power and think only about this.”
Over time, the top man becomes
trapped by the bureaucracy he has created and that sends him laws and decrees
which he might not have issued on his own but which he increasingly has no
option but to agree to lest by rejecting what those below him are doing he call
not only them but also himself into question.
Putin now faces that dilemma, Yudin says.
Another factor is at work as well,
the sociologist continues. “Russia is a depoliticized country” in which ever
more people do not care what the regime is doing and live apart from it,
something that constitutes “the murder of public policy” because all real decisions
are made not with input from the population but behind the scenes in the presidential
administration.”
Such a situation can last only so
long, Yudin suggests. Over time, people will want a voice and they will use
whatever means they can to express it and reestablish a kind of public politics.
That is what is happening in the city of Moscow now, where “a unified
democratic opposition” has emerged.
“Not all the people can agree with
one another,” the sociologist observes. “But this in the present case now is in
general not important. What is important is that it had taken shape. It has
declared itself as an independent political subject.” And that represents a
challenge not just in these elections but to the system as a whole.
And that impact may occur faster
than anyone expects because “not only Putin himself but all of his elite are in
the nature of things not fitted to speak normally with people.” Russians can
see this and that too is accelerating the decomposition of the plebiscitary
state that the Kremlin leader put in place believing it could last at least
through his lifetime.
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