Paul
Goble
Staunton, February 18 – The petroleum
industry’s profits flow almost entirely to Moscow but their destruction of the
environment, which increased at a rate of 500 percent a year between 2017 and 2018 is hitting regions and republics far from the center in the Southern,
Siberian and Urals federal districts (rbc.ru/economics/16/02/2020/5e4929fc9a79472979a9a19f).
On
the one hand, this pattern is what one might expect: oil and gas fields and
processing sites that cause the damage are typically located far from the
center and as reserves decline the companies involved are likely to cut corners
in order to maintain their profit margin, even as they send the money they earn
to Moscow.
But
on the other, it highlights what the absence of federalism in Russia means, the
Region.Expert poral says, and it explains why regional governments have
few resources to address this destruction of the environment and also why protests
about environmental destruction generally take place far from Moscow but
inevitably become about the center.
Moscow’s
plans to send the city’s trash to these regions only exacerbates this situation.
Up to now, those protesting this plan have focused on getting Moscow to change
its policies on trash rather than power relations between the center and the
regions. But as the environmental situation deteriorates that is likely to
change.
Indeed,
the Kremlin is already beginning to fear that environmental protests now could ultimately
have an impact on the Russian political system similar to the one they had on
the Soviet system at the end in the Baltic countries where environmental
protests grew into national ones (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/10/kremlin-fears-protests-against-moscow.html).
An
interesting possibility is that some in Moscow may now or soon will be ready to
link up with these regional environmental protests given that the rising tide
of ecological destruction is estimated to be cutting Russian economic growth by
five to six percent a year (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/01/unresolved-environmental-problems.html).
At
the very least, the destruction of the environment in Putin’s Russia and the protests
outside of Moscow against this are likely to be far more politically
significant than many commentators now assume and to become even more so as
Russia moves to a post-Putin future in which the country’s reliance on oil and
gas will be viewed negatively rather than positively.
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