Paul
Goble
Staunton, February 12 – At the end
of January, Nikolay Petrov, the head of the Moscow Center for Political-Geographic
Research, argued that the further and excessive centralization of the Russian
government could very easily trigger a new crisis in the regions, which will be
left with even fewer powers (theins.ru/opinions/197998).
In a commentary on the Tallinn-based
Region.Expert portal today, Mikhail Feldman, a political analyst from
Kaliningrad, agrees but suggests that it is important to understand how that
crisis is likely to arise, what will be the key issues involved, and who will
be the most important players (region.expert/taxation/).
Any resistance from the regions to
the increased centralization of power is not going to come from the federal
appointees who are now the heads of all the oblasts, krays and republics nor,
given how lockstep their legislatures are prepared to act in response to the
new amendments will some kind of revolt emerge.
(The vote in Kaliningrad’s parliament
about the latest presidential amendments shows that the deputies whether they
are in United Russia or in the so-called “systemic opposition” are not going to
come out against the center. They aren’t even going to pay attention to what the
center is doing to them and their positions.)
But that is not the end of the
story, Feldman says. And he suggests that this crisis will emerge because the
new Russian government of Mikhail Mishustin has made tax collections “one of the
main criteria of the assessment of the effectiveness of the administrations of the
regions.”
That means that the regional
administrations are going to be tasked with extracting even more money from business
and the population leading some of the former to close – in Kaliningrad oblast,
five times as many closed last year as opened – and further depressing the
standard of living of the latter.
Given that little of the tax moneys
collected in the regions will be returned to them, Feldman says, ever more
people are going to begin to ask themselves what they are paying for and even think
in the way the American colonists did when London sought to increase its tax
collections from them.
The Americans advanced the slogan “no
taxation without representation” at the start of their revolution. “It is hard
to say whether this demand will be advanced in the Russian Federation, but it
is obvious that relations between ‘the federal center’ and the regions”
especially after the latest constitutional amendments “ever more recall
colonial ones.”
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