Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 9 – Because existing
tests for coronavirus infections are far from accurate and because those who
suffer from it often require the same kind of treatments those suffering from
pneumonia do, a new clinical committee in Moscow has called for combining into
a single system the separate medical streams in which coronavirus and pneumonia
patients are treated.
“At the present time,” the
clinicians say, “the overwhelming majority of cases of pneumonia are the result
of the new coronavirus,” a trend “especially pronounced in the last several
days” (t.me/COVID2019_official/226 and znak.com/2020-04-09/v_moskve_mogut_obedinit_stacionary_dlya_bolnyh_koronavirusom_i_pnevmoniey).
They add that existing tests for the
coronavirus are only 70 to 80 percent accurate and that “in certain cases,
testing gives false-negative results.” The share of such results, the doctors
continue, is thus “significant.” And that reality, they say, must guide the way
in which patients are processed and treated.
“If when brought to a hospital, a
patient does not have the results of a test but during examination in the
admissions department manifests clinical signs of pneumonia-COVID 19, then he
should be hospitalized and treated as someone ill with a COVID infection,” the
committee declared.
Their proposal has already been
accepted by Aleksey Khripun, the head of the healthcare department of the Russian
capital.
This move is important for the assessment
of the number of coronavirus cases in Russia for three reasons. First, it is a
rare acknowledgement in the Russian media that the tests being used for COVID
19 are not nearly as accurate as officials have previously claimed and that there
are many false negatives.
Second, it means that the 37 percent
spike in pneumonia patients in Moscow in January almost certainly was related
to the pandemic, with untested or undiagnosed coronavirus victims being
classified as having only pneumonia and dying from that rather than COVID 19 (rospotrebnadzor.ru/about/info/news/news_details.php?ELEMENT_ID=14210).
And third, it likely means that some
Russians suffering from ordinary pneumonia may be unnecessarily exposed to and
thus contract the coronavirus in the course of their treatment. If doctors are
now inclined to classify those with certain kinds of pneumonia as COVID 19
sufferers and treat them together, that is an entirely reasonable conclusion.
At the very least, this development is
yet another reason why Russian statistics on the coronavirus pandemic there
should be treated with greater skepticism than they are currently eliciting. More
is at work than simply the amount of testing in which places where there are
few or no tests report few or no cases or outright falsification.
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