Paul
Goble
Staunton, December 16 – Sometimes it
is the small things that underline the most important changes in the world. One
of those is suggested by Valery Solovey who noted during a short visit to
Ukraine that Ukrainian children are now playing war against Russian invaders
just as their Soviet-era predecessors played war against the Nazi Wehrmacht.
That perhaps better than anything
else shows that Vladimir Putin by his policies has not only antagonized
Ukrainians by his aggression against their country but lost Ukraine as a
Russian ally for a generation or more ahead, exactly the opposite result that
he has said he has been pursuing.
That is one of the eight
observations the Moscow historian and commentator makes on the basis of his
visit to Ukraine, a visit he says he took for family reasons but one that
provides him and others with some important lessons about where things now are
in Ukraine and where they’re heading (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=548F0E232C866§ion_id=50A6C962A3D7C).
First, he says, “the
economic and social situation” in Ukraine is difficult and likely will get
still worse next year. But second, there is no sense that Ukraine is about to
collapse under the weight of these problems, however much the Russian media
predict exactly that outcome. Instead, and third, Russian interference has
united Ukrainian society as never before.
Indeed, Solovey says, it is now
entirely appropriate to speak of “the formation of a Ukrainian political
nation.”
Fourth, Russia’s intervention in
southeastern Ukraine and Ukrainian reactions to it has become the cornerstone
of this new solidarity. Even “children are playing at war between Ukrainians
and Russians,” Solovey says, “just as Soviet children at one time played at war
with the Germans.”
Fifth, there is propaganda in the Ukrainian
media, but it is “markedly less professional than its Russian counterpart.” But more important, the media in Ukraine is “significantly
freer and more pluralist than the Russian,” as different from one another as
the sky is from the earth.
Sixth, he continues, the Ukrainian
authorities cannot (do not want? are afraid?) to restore communications with
society. People do not understand why the authorities are doing what they are
doing.” As a result and seventh, “this is giving birth in society to the
wildest possible myths,” which in fact are “mirror images of Russian myths.”
On the one hand, some Ukrainians
believe that Kyiv is about to surrender the Donbas to Russia, just as some
Russians believe Moscow is about to do in reverse. And on the other, some
Ukrainians believe that Russia is about to collapse “under the weight of its
own errors and crimes,” again exactly as some Russians believe about Ukraine.
And eighth and most important of
all, Solovey says, “in Ukraine there is a democratic politics. Its quality is
not that high,” but compared to Russia where there is no competition of
ideologies, parties and leaders, it is striking for a Russian visitor or indeed
for anyone else used to Soviet and post-Soviet conditions.
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