Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 15 – The potential
for ethnic conflicts in Tuva is relatively low, according to Vladimir
Datsyshen, but if economic problems, Russian flight, and increasing localism
among Tuvan intellectuals continue, Russia’s control of that republic on the
Mongolian border could be threatened by the rise of militant Buddhism and
shamanism.
In a new article that some Tuvans
say reflects the situation of the 1990s but not now and that raises questions
about the current level of Russian expertise on their republic (http://asiarussia.ru/articles/7934/), the Siberian
Federal University professor discusses Tuva’s past problems and future
prospects (http://www.intertrends.ru/seventh/008.htm).
He concludes that
“the relatively low level of conflict in Tuva is a reflection of the absence of
organized religious extremism” but asserts that if conditions deteriorate,
Buddhism “could be converted into a political instrument of the radicals” much
as has happened in other countries.
Moreover,
Datsyshen says, “there have been reports in the press about cases of a barbaric
manifestation of shamanism, the other religious system which is widespread in
Tuva.” Papers in Krasnoyarsk in the early 1990s, for example, “wrote even about
ritual murders of Russians by Tuvans, although the basis for such reports has
been subjected to doubt.”
A major reason
for his rather pessimistic assessment about the future, Datsyshen continues is
the existence of “negative tendencies in the sphere of integration into a
single cultural space as a result of a definite ‘Tuvinization’ of the local
intelligentsia.” Many of them never study or work anywhere but in Tuva.
Many of them do
not speak Russian well, but their own link to the Russian world is formed by
“Russians who speak Tuvan.” The number
of such people is very small: fewer than one percent of the Russian community
in the republic know Tuvan, and they are generally products of mixed marriages.
Another major
problem is the increasing importance of territorially based clans, whose
“strengthening is connected with the fact that the former united ‘Soviet’ space
of the republic has been destroyed without there being any prospect for the
creation of a single space on the basis of civil society.” And that is leading to the revival of
traditional institutions like clans.
If this trend is not brought under
legal control, the Siberian scholar says, there will appear in Tuva “a
favorable breeding ground for the intensification of the more sophisticated
forms of separatism and other ‘new challenges’ to Russian statehood” in a
region bordering Mongolia and near China.
Most of Datsyshen’s article is
devoted to a discussion of the history of Tuva, its absorption by the Soviet
Union, and especially to the complicated ethnic situation there in the
1990s. As he notes, Tuva is “the only
region of Siberia from which there was a massive outflow of ethnic Russians
after the collapse of the USSR,” a development that reflects, he says, that
republic’s “border” status both geographically and culturally.
By the end of the 1980s, he writes, “in
Tuva as in other regions of Russia, inter-ethnic relations deteriorated, criminalization
began to have an impact on aspects of the ethno-political process, [and]
political forces which raised the issue of the exit of Tuva from Russia were
legalized.” Tuvans’ knowledge of Russian and the number of mixed marriages both
fell sharply.
Meanwhile, local leaders put more
Tuvans in positions of authority to the point that their share there was vastly
larger than in the population as a whole, while the number of ethnic Russians
in these posts fell sharply. All this contributed to open clashes, triggered by
criminal acts, and more Russian flight.
Over the last decade, Russian fight
has declined, but polls show that “part of the urban Russian population” –
there are almost no Russians in rural areas – does not connect the future of
their children with the Tuvan land” and that “almost half of the migrants left
Tuva because of poor interethnic relations.”
As a result, Russians now form less
than a third of the population; and Tuvans, two thirds.
Tuvans believe that “Tuva was never
conquered but always voluntarily joined other larger states,” the Siberian
scholar says. In their view, “this gives her the right of free exit from Russia
in the event that Russia’s supreme power doesn’t satisfy them,” something many
of them feel given that the economy in Tuva is in trouble and not well
connected with the Russian one.
And Datsyshen concludes that there
is another problem on the horizon as well: “new outbreaks of inter-regional
contradictions [within Tuva] are possible” as well, including “the appearance
of separatism which is especially real for the southern districts [of Tuva]
which are drawn culturally toward Mongolia.”
No comments:
Post a Comment