Paul Goble
Staunton, June 24 – Vladimir Putin
wants to expand the Russian-speaking world in all directions but he is unlikely
to be pleased by one place where the growth of Russian speakers has been
especially great. In the ranks of those
fighting for the Islamic State, Russian speakers now outnumber those who speak
any other language except for Arabic or English.
Aleksey Grishin, head of Moscow’s
Religion and Society Analytic Center, says that at present there are
approximately 90,000 people in the ranks of the Islamic State. Its activists
are engaged in recruiting efforts in 24 different languages, of which Russian
is now the third most common reflecting the group’s targeted populations (ria.ru/world/20150619/1079078702.html).
IS spotters and recruiters are
currently spending from three to five million US dollars a day, money they have
obtained largely from the sale of oil and antiquities on the territories the
state controls, the Moscow expert says. And they are relying most heavily on
three languages: Arabic, English and Russian.
They use Arabic to recruit people
from the Arab world, “from Morocco and Libya to Yemen and Iraq.” They use
English to recruit Europeans and Americans. And they use Russian to attract
Russians, residents of Central Asia and Azerbaijan, Crimean Tatars, and “Chechens
living in the West.”
Of the total number of active
participants in the Islamic State, Russian speakers now form 5,000 to 10,000 –
or seven to eleven percent – of the total. According to Grishin, approximately
300 to 500 of its activists are to be found in the city of Moscow itself, with
others elsewhere in the former Soviet space or already in the Middle East.
Islamic State recruiters are most
active in major cities, he continues, because that is where the population and
especially migrant workers are to be found. They work elsewhere primarily via
the Internet, from sites based sometimes within the former Soviet space and
sometimes from abroad. It “is not
important” where they are located,” Grishin says.
Those involved in getting people to
join the ranks of the Islamic State can be divided into two groups, spotters
and recruiters. The first identify people Muslim or not who are unhappy with their
current situation and may be interested in joining the IS. The others, using
the names provided by the spotters, work to recruit them into IS ranks.
Recruiters, Grishin says, have two
goals: first, they seek to break the ordinary ties individuals have to family,
friends and work place; and second, they use whatever interests such people
have to draw them into IS ranks. If someone is interested in soccer, the
recruiter is a soccer enthusiast; if he wants money, the recruiter says that is
no problem.
IS activists view almost anyone as a
potential recruit if they can find some way to exploit his or her feelings of
anger or incompleteness, but “it is simplest of all to recruit a Muslim”
because IS propaganda is all about jihad and other Muslim values, Grishin
argues. Thus the recruiter doesn’t have to overcome any religious barrier.
To limit IS recruitment in Russia,
he suggests, the Russian authorities need to do three things. First, they must publicly
declare that they are going after the recruiters and will bring criminal
charges against them. Indeed, he says, Moscow should consider making the
punishments for those convicted of recruiting far harsher than they are now.
Second, Grishin says, Moscow needs
to “introduce in the upper classes of schools special anti-sectarian courses”
in which pupils will have explained to them “the dangerous nature of various
sects,” Muslim and otherwise.
And third, the Russian government
must “completely reform its work with migrants” to take into account the risk
they pose as potential recruits for the Islamic State. Not only do gastarbeiters represent a gold
mine for IS recruiters, but they include numerous imams who prepare the way for
recruitment. That has to be stopped.
Indeed, Grishin adds, many special
services in Central Asia are now complaining about something that no one
expected: Many Central Asians are going to Moscow and other Russian cities as
ordinary traditional Muslims and then returning as Islamists who threaten the
stability of their own countries.
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