Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 26 – Vladimir Putin
has made the Russian language a key element in his definition of “the Russian
world” he wants to create, but his actions in pursuit of that goal are
destroying any possibility that Russian speakers will be united, according to
Olga Irisova, a Russian associate of Warsaw’s Center for Polish-Russian
Dialogue and Accord.
In a commentary in “Nezavisimaya
gazeta” today, she writes that Putin’s pursuit of “the Russian world,” a
concept she says few Russians can define with any precision, is leading Moscow
to treat countries where Russian has been widely spoken in ways that will make
ever fewer people there interested in learning it (ng.ru/cis/2015-06-26/3_kartblansh.html).
The current aggressive rhetoric with
which many Russians have responded to the events in Armenia, rhetoric which
Russians justify by their concern about “the Russian world,” raises qeusitons
about whether Russian elites will be able to proceed “along a civilized course
and avoid a deterioration of relations” with Armenia.
“The simple formula” which Russians
have had imposed on them, a formula that equates Russia, Putin and the Russian
world, “does not require an understanding of terminology,” Irisova says. “If
you are for Russia, that means you are for Putin, and if you are for Putin,
then you are automatically for all his projects, including the Russian world.”
Such a concept deprives Russia’s
neighbors of any right to be subjects of their own fate, she continues. It
reduces them to being objects of a geopolitical game. And if they turn to the
West, those who accept it believe that it is because of Western actions rather
than because of any shortcomings in Russia’s approach.
That makes things comfortable for
those who belive it because it is always “an abstract West” that is guilty” and
there is no need to raise questions about “the failure of Russia” to construct “some
attractive and working model of development” that might have led Georgians,
Ukrainians and now Armenians to choose differently.
In condemning these countries for
falling under Western influence and choosing to seek to become part of the West,
Irisova continues, Russians forget that “in the 1990s, we sought to become part
of the West,” a goal that changed when as a result of “the post-imperial syndrome,”
Russians couldn’t face up to their new reduced status in the world.
Irisova suggests that it is
worthwhile to try to distinguish “the Russian world” as a political project
from the roughly 35 million people in the former Soviet space beyond the
borders of the Russian Federation who speak Russian as a second language or
even in some cases as a first one.
Ukrainians are very much part of
this Russian-speaking world, “but they will never want to become part of the
Russian world in quotes.” Indeed, Russians now have to acknowledge that the
actions of their own government in recent years have reduced the size of the
Russian-speaking world and especially its political meaning.
Georgia, she says, provides a good
first example. There, “Russian as iin Ukraine remains a second language.” But
that isn’t going to last: “in a few decades together with the change of
generations, the place of Russia will be occupied by English. Who is
responsible for that?” Globalization is part of the answer, but only part and
not the most important.
“Much more important are two other
factors,” Irisova says. The first of these is a response to the Russian actions
in Georgia in 2008. Does anyone want to study a language whose speakers seized
20 percent of one’s own country? It is
thus “not surprising” that since 2011, Russian has ceased to be an obligatory
subject in Georgian schools and that the number of Russian schools has fallen
by half.
The second factor is “more
pragmatic.” The visa regime Russia has
imposed on Georgia and not lifted means that young Georgians see that they will
have little opportunity to use any Russian they might learn and so will choose
to study other languages whose base countries are more welcoming.
Ukraine is a second example, Irisova
says. “For the majority of Russian speaking Ukrainians, Russia today is a
country which has occupied part of their territory, a country which does not
respect the choice they have made, a country which supports the idea of ‘Novorossiya’
which destabilizes the eastern part of their state.”
Consequently, she continues, “for
the generations of new Ukrainians who will not remember the years of peaceful
co-existence, Russian will be viewed exclusively as the language of the
aggressor” with all the ensuing results. Such attitudes will change only when
Moscow’s approach does.
The question now is the following:
will Armenia go the way of Georgia and Ukraine and leave the Russian speaking
space because its people want to make decisions about themselves and their future
and thus do not want to be part of Vladimir Putin’s “Russian world” where those
choices would be made by others for them.
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