Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 18 – FSB efforts to
shut down the Telegram messenger service – and there can be no doubt that the
security services are the proximate author of this effort – are going to have far
more consequences and negative ones at that for the freedom of Russians than
positive ones for security, according to Yekaterinburg commentator Aleksey
Shaburov.
“The blocking of the popular
messenger service already has become one of the main political events of the
year” in Russia, Shaburov says, with the authorities insisting that it has to
take this step in order to be able to combat terrorists who have used Telegram
on occasion (politsovet.ru/58711-politicheskie-prichiny-i-posledstviya-blokirovki-telegram.html).
And “one must say,” he continues, “that
at first glance this argument is quite strong. Before us is the classical
contradiction of security and freedom.”
Moreover, “the argument works.”
Most people “do not want to live in fear for their lives … But if one
thinks a little more, then we begin to see that security is in its own way a
kind of fiction.”
Of course, “if we are asked to
choose between a world full of dangers and a situation of absolute security,
then we will choose the second. But absolute security is a myth, a utopia which
will not be achieved; and what is more, it cannot be achieved by means of the
complete surrender of freedom.”
Not only “will an unfree individual
by definition by subjected to dangers,” Shaburov says, but “in fact, while the
rejection of freedom may allow for the avoidance of one kind of danger – non-governmental
terrorism – it increases the risk of another danger – state terrorism.” And the
latter has claimed far more lives than the former.
The effort to block Telegram, he
continues, “is nothing other than the latest example of the classical conflict
between security and freedom which in fact will have more consequences for
freedom than for security,” increasing the power of the state while limiting
the freedom of the population.
Another aspect of this situation,
Shaburov says, is “the clash of the state and the Internet or more precisely
the state and social networks.” This isn’t the first such clash in Russia, and such
clashes are hardly limited to Russia alone because states prefer vertical
channels of the dissemination of information while social networks are horizontal
ones.
Thus, “the larger social networks
become, the more the state fears for its own power.” And with good reason: the
Brexit vote and the election of Donald Trump as US president show how social
networks can in fact “destroy” the pre-existing political system by undermining
the state’s ability to regulate the flow of news from a relatively small number
of outlets.
“Social networks changed everything,”
Shaburov says. “they created a mechanism of disseminating information which could
completely escape the control of the state. And this is a genuinely serious
challenge” to the powers that be because it promoted radical populism and
anti-government and anti-elite attitudes.
Thus, it is “completely understandable
why the state began to attack social networks by the most varied means,
legislative and through the use of force,” with targets including not only
Pavel Durov in Russia but Mark Zuckerberg in the United States. But “this is
not simply a personal conflict between politicians and businessmen,” Shaburov
says.
“The governments are struggling in
order to continue to exist in their current form.”
There are thus long-term
consequences arising from this conflict: “Now, we observe how a significant
number of people are seeking ways to get around the blocking,” an example of “how
people massively are learning to resist state power at the everyday level.” Those who are doing so are engaging in “their
own small revolt.”
“This micro-revolt,” he says, “while
remaining the person affair of each is turning out to be sufficiently massive. It
is not creating any political movement but inevitably it is changing the
attitude of people toward the authorities and their tactics of behaving in
relationship to the government.”
According to Shaburov,
“if the first attempt at resistance proves successful, then the individual with
a high degree of probability will repeat it again and again. Sooner or later, this
will create a threat for the political regime. But one must stress that one is
talking about a specific regime but not about the governmental mechanism as a
whole.”
Optimists say that technology can’t be
stopped and that “’the Internet will defeat the state,” the commentator
observes. “But more likely, there is no given direction, and the defeat of the state
in a fight with the Internet is hardly guaranteed.” The state retains enormous resources,
and it may be able to learn how to control and use the Internet to its
advantage.
If that should prove to be the case,
Shaburov argues, then the Internet will only further strengthen the power of
the government. “It is completely possible that this will be the case”
here. But it is also possible that the
social networks will give birth to “a new form of state power.”
Indeed, “it is no accident” that
some are already suggesting that Telegram’s Pavel Durov should run for president
of Russia.”
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