Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 19 – Ukraine will
leave the Commonwealth of Independent States in the same way Georgia did,
dropping its membership in the Russian-dominated organization of former Soviet republics
but continuing to honor various agreements it has reached with that group of
states, according to today’s Izvestiya.
Citing unnamed sources in Kyiv,
Aleksey Zabrodin and Dmitry Laru, two journalists at the Moscow paper say that
the Ukrainian authorities are doing exactly what Georgia did earlier. They note
that Kyiv has not officially dropped its membership and that CIS officials
expect it to develop a relationship with the organization even after it
formally leaves.
Since 2014, Ukrainian officials have
not taken part in CIS-wide activities, they say; but at the same time, Kyiv has
continued to honor most of the agreements it signed with the organization; and
Moscow thinks that it will likely continue to do so just as Georgia has done (iz.ru/732785/aleksei-zabrodin-dmitrii-laru/gruzinskii-stcenarii-dlia-kieva).
According to CIS officials, Ukraine
in recent months has been trying to provoke the organization to take the kind
of action against Kyiv that could be used to justify a harder break. But the
CIS, almost certainly at Moscow’s order, has refused to be drawn, forcing Kyiv
to come up with its own post-membership arrangements.
At present, the two journalists say,
Kyiv is following the Georgian “scenario,” planning to quit the organization
but “remain a participant in certain agreement which were obligatory for
members of the CIS.” That is what Georgia has done in the case of 34 agreements
on a wide variety of issues, including railway operations.
(The Izvestiya article doesn’t note,
but after the three Baltic countries recovered their independence in 1991, they
too retained their membership in the railway commissions that Moscow describes
as CIS-based even though the three formerly occupied republics have never
joined the Commonwealth.)
Many of the
agreements Moscow describes as CIS accords in fact are typical of relations
among countries in various regions, including such things as mutual recognition
of diplomas and rail transportation. That these are likely to be retained will
be presented by Moscow as showing that Kyiv has not made a clean break with the
CIS.
Ukraine has already been on the way out of the
CIS since Russia’s invasion and annexation of Crimea in 2014. It has refused to
pay its membership dues or to take part in official meetings. In 2015, the
Ukrainian foreign ministry said that the CIS does not serve Ukrainian interests,
although it still uses the free trade arrangements among members.
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