Paul Goble
Staunton,
November 15 – The Ukrainian Orthodox Church of the Moscow Patriarchate will
remain in existence after Ukraine forms its own autocephalous national church,
but the Russian church will be “marginalized, reduced in size and cease to be
influential in the Orthodox world,” according to Andrey Yurash, a specialist on
the politics of religion at Lviv University.
Organizationally,
he says, “the UOC MP will gradually split apart, with all the more active bishops
and priests leaving it because they share the ideology of Ukrainian Orthodoxy.”
Some have already signaled their intentions (enovosty.com/news_politics/full/1511-chto-budet-s-upc-mp-posle-polucheniya-ukrainoj-tomosa-religioved-dal-prognoz).
“I
am convinced,” Yurash continues, “that there are several dozen hierarchs who under
the circumstances will be ready to join the majority of their priesthood to the
movement toward autocephaly.” That will change the face of religious life in
Ukraine far more quickly than many now assume.
At
the same time, however, he says that the UOC MP “as a structure in unity with
the Moscow Patriarchatee will be preserved.” No one should have any doubts
about that as 14 to 19 percent of the Ukrainian population remains “conscious
supporters of the Moscow jurisdiction” and they will be given all the necessary
conditions to continue to follow its lead.
But
with time, that church “will be marginalized, reduced in side and not occupy
the niche it does now of the most numerous and influential single canonical
structure in the Orthodox milieu. All
elements of its identity with the creation of a national church will be
destroyed. [And] it will lose the
independent organic unity” it has had for the las 25 years.
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