Lukashenka Fears His Own People More than He Fears Moscow, Karbalevich Says
January 2 – Alyaksandr Lukashenka demonstrated in his vacuous New Year’s
address that he believes that he is the only one on whom the independence of
Belarus rests and that he “fears the activity of the population much more than
he fears pressure from Moscow,” according to Belarusian political analyst
is treating it as a working group on integration according to the treaty on the
union state. But the Belarusian side is treating it as a group for the
discussion of disputed questions in bilateral relations,” Karbalevich says.
this situation, the analyst continues, “Lukashenka is afraid to appeal to
society since he considers that he is the only politician in the country” and therefore
that the issue of the country’s future is his alone, one that the society
should not interfere with.But that is
his view and not necessarily the view of those who will be profoundly affected
by what he agrees to.
also interviewed economist Leonid Fridkin on Lukashenka’s New Year’s address
and its meaning. He suggested that the last year and the coming one represent
lost opportunities, but he pointed to an issue that seldom gets much attention
especially during the course of back and forth talks with Moscow.
main problem today in Belarus,” Fridkin says, “is not what price the country
will have to pay for oil but how rapidly will occur in Belarus the
stratification of the population into the richest and the poorest.This problem is much more serious than the
oil maneuvers or the extinction of foreign debt.”
is a domestic problem which is becoming a mind which is becoming ever more
difficult to disarm.”