Paul
Goble
Staunton, December 22 – As angry as
many in Russia’s regions and republics are about the absence of federalism and
the injustices of the Putin system, they are much more interested in trying to
change Russia than in leaving it, according to Pavel Luzin, a longtime advocate
of restoring federalism.
Because that is the attitude of most
Russians outside of Moscow, he argues, talk about “a Urals Republic, a Siberian
Republic, a free Koenigsberg and the like” may be a useful intellectual game “in
a narrow circle,” but for better or
worse, such ideas “are cut off from objective reality” (region.expert/after_russia/).
Consequently,
Luzin suggests, it is more important to discuss how Russia should be organized “’after
Putin’” than to think about how “to live ‘after Russia,’” as Mikhail Kulekhov
has argued in a recent essay (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/12/a-confederation-in-russia-would-remain.html).
Empires
die – and the Russian one among them – Luzin says, when the benefits to the center
of holding the periphery are exceeded by the cost of doing so, something regional
elites can on occasion promote but seldom are in a position to radically change
the balance in the center’s calculations.
“Despite
the profound disfunction of [Russia’s] political institutions, the political-economic
system continues to exist because its stability is defined not only (or not so
much) by institutions but by a conglomeration of state and formally private
corporations.” And it is this conglomerate with which the regions must in every
case deal.
“There
are of course local elites and they trade with the Kremlin, but they depend on
the Russian corporatist model and cannot offer anything to the global market
bypassing the metropolitan center,” Luzin says. “And in the regions, there are
no interest groups or ideological trends which could form a counter-elite interested
in secession.”
“In
other words,” the regionalist writer says, “if we see the disintegration of
Russia as the only possible variant of its decolonization, where are the
economic and political factors for this? There aren’t any.” And with rare
exceptions, “there isn’t any cultural or demographic development which could
form these factors in the future.”
Despite
that, however, “the present-day Russian political-economic system which remains
essentially colonial is viewed by us as unjust. In the eyes of the Russian
elite, we are aborigines … or plebs … and in their view, we are not capable of talking
serous decisions.” Instead, for them, “we are destructive and need constant
supervision.”
Those
who care about Russia’s regions and their future should be focusing on changing
the Russian system after Putin so that they can achieve justice rather than
spending their time talking about what kind of a world would exist if Russia fell
apart and ceased to exist, Luzin suggests.
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